The Obama-Trump Foreign Policy
Thomas Donnelly · February 9, 2018 It is a conceit of the Trump administration that its foreign policy is entirely different from that of Barack Obama. Even in an otherwise conciliatory State of the Union address, Trump strove to set himself apart from Obama, touting his own policy of “maximum pressure” on North Korea as an example…
Israel's Coming War with Hezbollah
Thomas Donnelly · November 3, 2017 Donald Trump’s feud with North Korea’s “Little Rocket Man” notwithstanding, the most likely major war on the horizon is one between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shiite militia that, thanks to years of experience and an increasingly lethal arsenal, has become part of the vanguard in Iran’s…
An Empire for Liberty
Thomas Donnelly · September 26, 2017 To many of those commenting on Donald Trump’s maiden address to the United Nations, especially if otherwise disturbed by the president’s character, his emphasis on state sovereignty was a welcome dose of diplomatic normalcy. For example, David Ignatius of the Washington Post found this theme…
An Empire for Liberty
Thomas Donnelly · September 22, 2017 To many of those commenting on Donald Trump’s maiden address to the United Nations, especially if otherwise disturbed by the president’s character, his emphasis on state sovereignty was a welcome dose of diplomatic normalcy. For example, David Ignatius of the Washington Post found this theme…
Retreat from Reliability
Thomas Donnelly · June 2, 2017 Campaigning in a Munich beer tent on May 28, German chancellor Angela Merkel reflected upon Donald Trump's blitz through Europe at the tail end of his first trip outside the United States. "The times when we could fully rely on others are kind of over," she said. "We Europeans really need to take…
Mulvaney Seems to Have Pulled a Fast One on the Pentagon
Thomas Donnelly · May 28, 2017 Rolling out the Trump administration's formal 2018 budget, acting Pentagon comptroller John Roth confessed that Defense secretary James Mattis "hasn't spent one moment" looking beyond the coming budget year. But even a cursory glance at the plan makes one wonder whether he paid much attention to…
Indefensible
Thomas Donnelly · May 26, 2017 Rolling out the Trump administration's formal 2018 budget, acting Pentagon comptroller John Roth confessed that Defense secretary James Mattis "hasn't spent one moment" looking beyond the coming budget year. But even a cursory glance at the plan makes one wonder whether he paid much attention to…
Are We Witnessing a Trump Turnaround?
Thomas Donnelly · April 7, 2017 What are we to make of the cruise missile barrage that targeted a Syrian air base in retaliation for Bashar al-Assad's use of chemical weapons in the province of Idlib? Was Donald Trump's first serious action as commander-in-chief a one-off expression of moral outrage lacking any larger purpose? Or…
Trump's Fake Defense Buildup
Thomas Donnelly · March 3, 2017 As Donald Trump tries to transform himself from reality TV star and King of Twitter into something more substantive and presidential, his principal argument is that he’s fulfilling his campaign promises. For several weeks now, the White House has been boasting that he is "already achieving results…
General Politics
Thomas Donnelly · February 21, 2017 By naming Army Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster as his new national security adviser, President Donald Trump has taken a critical first step toward restoring confidence in the White House's ability to meet the challenges of a trying time. Simultaneously the choice raises profound questions about the…
Now for the Post-Post-Cold War Era
Thomas Donnelly · January 13, 2017 As Barack Obama leaves the Oval Office, so too will the “post-Cold War era" exit the scene. Another Lost Ark, it may wind up in an endless, dusty warehouse, a torrent locked in a raw wood crate.
The Phony Defense Budget War
Gary Schmitt · January 13, 2017 LAST WEDNESDAY, in testimony before the Senate Appropriations defense subcommittee, Defense secretary Donald Rumsfeld fired the latest salvo in his campaign to recast American defense strategy and to rescue the fading hopes for this year’s Pentagon budget. But Rumsfeld’s campaign is less blitzkrieg…
An Uncertain Trumpet
Thomas Donnelly · January 5, 2017 The election of Donald Trump initially seemed to be a lifeline to an American military suffering from unrelenting budget cuts—a loss of more than $250 billion in spending power from the 2009 budget alone—and an equally punishing pace of operations. The morning after the election, Forbes magazine…
An Uncertain Trumpet
Thomas Donnelly · December 23, 2016 The election of Donald Trump initially seemed to be a lifeline to an American military suffering from unrelenting budget cuts—a loss of more than $250 billion in spending power from the 2009 budget alone—and an equally punishing pace of operations. The morning after the election, Forbes magazine…
Bob Dylan Couldn't Sing Or Play
Thomas Donnelly · October 14, 2016 Bob Dylan's Nobel prize is a culturally revealing moment, not only about the miserable state of modern literature but the even-more-miserable state of modern music criticism. Let's get this straight: Dylan can't sing and can't play. The musicians who did most to disguise these facts, the Band, were…
What Elizabethan England Can Teach Us About Reversing American Decline
Thomas Donnelly · September 29, 2016 Is America in decline? The question has been catnip for the chattering classes for decades, especially during the Obama presidency. And now we have a presidential candidate who vows to "make America great again." Says Donald Trump: "Our country is in serious trouble. We don't win anymore. We don't…
Reversing Decline
Thomas Donnelly · September 23, 2016 Is America in decline? The question has been catnip for the chattering classes for decades, especially during the Obama presidency. And now we have a presidential candidate who vows to “make America great again." Says Donald Trump: "Our country is in serious trouble. We don't win anymore. We don't…
Kerry Carries Out the Trump Doctrine
Thomas Donnelly · September 12, 2016 If, come November 9, Donald Trump is looking for a secretary of state with the talents and experience to appease Vladimir Putin, he could do worse than retaining the current incumbent, John Kerry. As Walter Russell Mead has observed, “Watching the State Department pursue its Syria negotiation with…
Giving Trump's National Security Speech Its Due
Thomas Donnelly · September 7, 2016 Donald Trump's speech on national security at the Union League of Philadelphia Wednesday may have been his best imitation of a traditional, conservative Republican to date, particularly on his proposals to rebuild the U.S. military. When The Donald cites the 2014 National Defense Panel report, he's…
Carrier Photo-Ops
Thomas Donnelly · April 22, 2016 Early in April, Defense Secretary Ashton Carter previewed his two-week Asia-Pacific tour by reaffirming the administration’s belief that this is the "single most consequential region" for U.S. national security interests. Speaking to the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, he celebrated…
Mafia Don
Thomas Donnelly · April 4, 2016 In a wide-ranging and extended “town hall" session with Fox News' Greta van Susteren, Donald Trump explained his basic approach to national security and America's role in the world. Using Japan – which has had the effrontery, over several generations, to make great automobiles and sell them at…
Owning Iraq
Thomas Donnelly · February 17, 2016 One of the virtues of the political insurgencies of this presidential campaign has been that they have forced both parties to confront difficult questions that most mainstream politicians have preferred to ignore. On the domestic policy front, the unavoidable issue is the plight of the working…
An Existential Threat
Thomas Donnelly · November 19, 2015 One of the most durable arguments for not responding as forcefully as possible to al Qaeda, the Islamic State, and jihadi groups in general is that they do not pose an “existential” threat to America. Indeed, this lies at the core of the Obama administration’s strategy for the Middle East. As the…
Not the Hour for Nimble Power
Thomas Donnelly · November 16, 2015 Like the Bourbons, Barack Obama and his national security advisers have learned nothing and forgotten nothing. They have not forgotten that they were first elected in 2008 to “end” Middle East wars, and the administration’s response to the attacks in Paris last week reveals that they have yet to…
‘It Could Have Been Worse’
Thomas Donnelly · October 27, 2015 That’s what many defense experts are saying about the two-year budget deal that’s being cut by congressional leaders and the White House. Byron Callan, longtime analyst for Capital Alpha Partners, which provides research to financial firms, rates the prospective deal as “defense positive.”
‘It Could Have Been Worse’
Thomas Donnelly · October 27, 2015 That’s what many defense experts are saying about the two-year budget deal that’s being cut by congressional leaders and the White House. Byron Callan, longtime analyst for Capital Alpha Partners, which provides research to financial firms, rates the prospective deal as “defense positive.”
Putting Defense First
Gary Schmitt · October 5, 2015 With the new fiscal year for the federal government rapidly approaching, the irresponsible and dangerous game of chicken being played with national defense continues. For most of the year, the White House and Democrats have made it clear that they will block passage of defense authorization and…
He Who Dares Wins
Thomas Donnelly · October 3, 2015 You have to give Barack Obama credit for consistency.
Fleeting Raptor
Thomas Donnelly · September 1, 2015 For the last several weeks, Air Force Secretary Deborah James has been touting the deployment of F-22 Raptor fighters – the best plane America owns – to Germany as “the strong side of the coin” in an effort to reassure Eastern Europeans who have seen their air space increasingly violated by Russian…
Mullahs’ Military Shopping List
Thomas Donnelly · July 21, 2015 What will Iran do with the big “signing bonus” – perhaps as much as $150 billion – coming its way thanks to the nuclear pact negotiated by the Obama administration?
For the Want of a Budget Gimmick, the Kingdom Was Lost
Thomas Donnelly · July 9, 2015 In at last announcing in detail that it would reduce the size of its active-duty force, currently 490,000, by 40,000 soldiers over the next two years, the U.S. Army seems finally and for a day to have captured the attention of the political class. In fact this is not news, but the long-anticipated…
They Only Say No
Thomas Donnelly · June 8, 2015 Buried deep in the House version of this year’s defense authorization is a brief provision that has great potential to improve and accelerate the way the armed services buy weapons—yes, an actual reform of Pentagon procurement. The irony is that this reform would mark a reversal of past “reforms”…
Bring Back CENTO?
Thomas Donnelly · May 13, 2015 The early Cold War period might be called the Age of the Treaty Organization. The United States, scrambling furiously to respond to the fact that it had become the guarantor of the “Free World,” had discovered a surprising interest in entangling alliances of all sorts and in all parts of the…
America's Collapsing Alliances
Thomas Donnelly · May 11, 2015 It was a long time ago and a galaxy far, far away: In July 2008, presidential candidate Barack Obama made big, bold news by travelling to Berlin to – as The New York Times triumphantly recorded – “restore the world’s faith in strong American leadership and idealism.” With 200,000 Berliners waving…
A Semper-Fi Guy Takes the JCS Chair
President Obama’s decision to nominate Marine Commandant Gen. Joseph Dunford to become the next chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is a very good move. It’s also a little bit of a surprise: Even though it’s been clear for a while that Dunford was going to be the last man standing in the…
Retaking Mosul
Thomas Donnelly · March 9, 2015 In late 2001, when initial military operations in Afghanistan produced surprising successes, the opening skit on Saturday Night Live was a send-up of the daily press conference given by Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld. Actor Darrell Hammond made a perfect Rummy, complete with rimless…
Breaking Trust
Gary Schmitt · February 16, 2015 At what point do we—the institution and our nation—lose our soldiers’ trust? The trust that we will provide them the right resources—the training and equipment—to properly prepare them and lead them into harm’s way. Trust that we will appropriately take care of our soldiers, our civilians, and…
NSS Nuggets
Thomas Donnelly · February 6, 2015 At this point, not even the self-styled Wonk Class was staying up late in anticipation of the Obama Administration’s release of its long-overdue National Security Strategy (NSS), which has at last been published. The last one came out five years ago, and the president has been promising an update…
Paris Attacks: An Al Qaeda, Islamic State Combined Operation
Thomas Donnelly · January 12, 2015 The terrorist attacks in Paris were nightmarish in many ways, but perhaps the most worrisome news to come out of the Charlie Hebdo affair is that followers of a “pure” al Qaeda affiliate – al Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula – and of ISIS – the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria – worked together.
The Pathetic Pacific Pivot
Thomas Donnelly · December 22, 2014 As the historically minded will recall, back in 2012 the Obama administration declared that the United States “will of necessity rebalance toward the Asia-Pacific.” That was the guidance the commander in chief gave to the U.S. military, the idea being that since, the peace of Europe was eternal and…
The Hagel Opportunity
Thomas Donnelly · November 24, 2014 The resignation of Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel creates a golden opportunity for the new Republican majority in the Congress: not only will the hearings on Hagel’s replacement be a natural venue for reviewing the defense reductions and many retreats of the Obama years, but they provide a forum for…
More Strikes in Syria Expected?
Thomas Donnelly · September 23, 2014 “Last night’s strikes were only the beginning,” Defense Department spokesman Rear Adm. John Kirby told the Pentagon press corps. More strikes can be “expected.”
Anything But Great
Thomas Donnelly · September 18, 2014 In the late 17th century, times were tough in Scotland. The Stuarts, the Scots’ royal family, had been tossed off the throne of England for a second time, and the country had been excluded from the burgeoning English system of international trade regulated by the Navigation Acts. Even the climate…
A Foreseeable Failure
Thomas Donnelly · September 17, 2014 In testimony yesterday before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and Gen. Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, admitted that the most that could be done by way of creating an effective Free Syrian Army – that is, the forces of the moderate…
Wasting Time
Thomas Donnelly · September 15, 2014 The Obama administration is behaving like a prisoner under interrogation: eventually, if unintentionally, it ends up talking most about the subjects it least wishes to discuss.
What Kind of Coalition?
Thomas Donnelly · September 10, 2014 Stories on President Obama’s strategy-for-the-Islamic-State speech this evening have made it plain that the military approach is going to be a combination of U.S. airpower and various Iraqi and Syrian proxies on the ground. “Obama’s ISIL Strategy to Emphasize Coalition Effort,”…
Degrading, Defeating, and Destroying the Islamic State
Thomas Donnelly · September 8, 2014 On Wednesday, the eve of the thirteenth anniversary of the September 11 attacks, President Obama will speak to the American people about his strategy for dealing with the rise of the Islamic State, the would-be caliphate bestriding Iraq and Syria, the most palpable and present threat to the region…
Seize the Jacksonian Day
Thomas Donnelly · September 5, 2014 “They should know we will follow them to the gates of hell.”
Yes, We Do Have a Strategy: Keep Out
Thomas Donnelly · September 2, 2014 Say what you will about Barack Obama, but his approach to the Middle East has been ruthlessly consistent. He was elected on the promise to end America’s involvement in the post-9/11 wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. He didn’t fulfill those promises as rapidly as his supporters wished – he preferred…
Obama’s General Order
Thomas Donnelly · August 11, 2014 On July 4, 1863, as he stared across the fields near Gettysburg at Robert E. Lee’s battered army, George Meade issued a general order expressing his thanks for the “glorious result” of the previous three days’ fighting. The victory already won would be “matters of history ever to be remembered,”…
Boots on the Ground? Yes!
Thomas Donnelly · March 31, 2014 The failures of American will exposed by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine are numerous and mounting. Coming on top of the tepid response to China’s declaration of an air defense identification zone over Japanese waters and the withdrawals from Iraq, Afghanistan, and the “red line” in Syria, they have…
Testing Time for Republicans
Thomas Donnelly · March 27, 2014 As Vladimir Putin reminds us that hard power, military power – not “soft” or “smart” power – is the ultima ratio in international affairs, who speaks for the Republican party?
Deeply Unsettling
Gary Schmitt · March 10, 2014 America’s chattering classes seem at last to have awoken to the fact that the U.S. military ain’t what it used to be. Even the New York Times allows that “the Pentagon’s proposals to reduce the Army to pre-World War II levels” could “seem unsettling to a nation that prides itself on having the…
The Unmaking of the Middle East
Thomas Donnelly · January 20, 2014
Right Deal for National Defense
Thomas Donnelly · December 11, 2013 A future historian would describe the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA) as having a profound effect on the United States. The BCA, he would write, was a critical step toward making America into a social democracy while ensuring its decline as a global military power. He would conclude that the law…
Patronizing a Patriot
Thomas Donnelly · December 4, 2013 House Armed Services Committee chairman Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon doesn’t look like an insurgent. The quintessential Californian – a man of Reaganesque optimism whose congressional district now includes the Gipper’s presidential library – McKeon has been a steadfast supporter of House speaker John…
A Surfeit of Modesty
Thomas Donnelly · October 30, 2013 Whether it’s “pivoting” or “rebalancing,” the Obama administration’s unceasing efforts to turn retreat into a virtue – particularly when it comes to the Middle East – have become a distinguishing feature of this president’s national security strategy.
Worse Isn’t Better
Thomas Donnelly · September 9, 2013 "It's a pity they can’t both lose.” So Henry Kissinger famously said about Iran and Iraq during their long and ugly war in the 1980s. Having squandered the many opportunities created by the uprising in Syria against the regime of Bashar al-Assad, and with the Syrian opposition increasingly…
A Hollow Reform Agenda
Gary Schmitt · July 22, 2013 In 2012, the Department of Defense spent a total of $651 billion, including the costs of fighting in Afghanistan. According to the budget plan submitted by the White House a few months ago, projected 2014 spending will be $547 billion. If, as seems nearly inevitable, the “sequestration” provision…
Where’s America?
Thomas Donnelly · July 3, 2013 For the second time in two years, an Egyptian autocrat has been deposed. In Syria, another embattled tyrant – this one robustly supported by Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia – looks like he might hang on. Across the Muslim world, the political future hangs in the balance.
The Great Bugout
Thomas Donnelly · July 1, 2013 Barack Obama’s foreign policy has one core principle: Get the United States out of the Middle East wars in Iraq and Afghanistan that he “inherited” from George W. Bush and avoid repeating those mistakes. There have been other themes sounded by the White House, most notably the “Pacific pivot,” but…
Losing the Middle East
Thomas Donnelly · June 17, 2013 After a three-week siege, the combined forces of Hezbollah and the Assad regime have taken the important crossroads town of Qusayr, which is just south of the even more important city of Homs in east-central Syria. “Whoever controls Qusayr controls the center of the country, and whoever controls…
‘Sense of Commitment, Joy, and Honor, of Serving the Nation in Its Uniform’
Thomas Donnelly · May 30, 2013 “The fundamental fact that we all have to be aware of is, when we go to war now, we send less than 1 percent of our population to war and they’re all volunteers and many of them are from working-class environments. And in the two wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, nothing was asked of the rest of us. We…
'I Can't Do It'
Thomas Donnelly · April 22, 2013 After several minutes of badgering from Sen. John McCain at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on April 9, Admiral Samuel Locklear admitted that the combination of regularly scheduled defense budget cuts and the “sequestration” provision of the current budget law meant that “in the near term…
The Message in the Mush
Thomas Donnelly · April 3, 2013 Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel’s address to the National Defense University today, hyped by the administration as a “strong message that the time has come for [the Department of Defense] to consider fundamental change in how it is organized and how it operates to better reflect 21st century…
Empire of Liberty
Thomas Donnelly · April 1, 2013 At 8:00 a.m. on July 11, 1708, John Churchill, Duke of Marlborough, captain general of British forces, and de facto commander of the Dutch, Hanoverian, Prussian, Danish, and other forces of the Grand Alliance, ordered his 80,000 men across the River Scheldt at the village of Oudenaarde in Flanders.…
Not Really Realistic
Thomas Donnelly · January 15, 2013 Periodically, and almost from the day he became a serious presidential candidate, editorialists, pundits, academics, and reporters have described Barack Obama’s foreign policy as a return to “realism.” Essayist and self-described realist Robert Kaplan, to take just one example, argues that this is…
Avoiding the Defense Cliff
Thomas Donnelly · January 3, 2013 There is at least one thing to like about the tax-raising, can-kicking deal that avoided the fiscal cliff: It gave the U.S. military a 60-day reprieve from the consequences of sequestration.
Obama v. Assad
Thomas Donnelly · December 17, 2012
A Recipe for Violence
Thomas Donnelly · December 10, 2012
Syria and Obama's Strategic Box
Gary Schmitt · July 27, 2012 Why hasn’t President Obama intervened militarily in Syria? After all, this is a president who issued a directive last year stating that a “core” national security interest of the United States would be to prevent mass atrocities of precisely the kind Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad is now…
Syria Is Indeed Iraq
Thomas Donnelly · July 25, 2012 Tom Friedman is a genius. It’s very, very difficult to write a frequent column that expresses deeply conventional wisdom in a fresh, hey-kids-I-just-thought-of-this voice. He is the id of the Washington Establishment.
A New Birth of Freedom
Thomas Donnelly · July 2, 2012 Geoffrey Norman’s lovely piece on the Seven Days Battles of June 1862 in this week’s edition of the magazine needs no glossing, but the fights that brought Confederate General Robert E. Lee to the fore also marked the beginning of a period where the future of the United States was increasingly in…
Obama Fiddles . . .
Thomas Donnelly · June 25, 2012 The prominence of Russian-made helicopters in Bashar al-Assad’s brutal and desperate efforts to hang on to power puts the Syrian war in a new light. It’s getting difficult to categorize the conflict simply as a humanitarian crisis or a “teacup war” of secondary significance. Rather, Syria’s civil…
Chinese Medicine for Leviathan
Thomas Donnelly · June 5, 2012 Eric Li’s op-ed in the New York Times, timed to coincide with the annual round-up of big wigs (with Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey leading the U.S. delegation) in Singapore, the Shangri-La Dialogue, is a useful reminder of the many good things…
American Zero
Thomas Donnelly · June 4, 2012 The Cold War is an increasingly distant memory in American military minds, except in the minds of the arms control community, and in particular those who seek the elimination of nuclear weapons. Alas, our president is a member in good standing of this community—indeed, an organizer.
Panetta Plays Chicken
Gary Schmitt · May 21, 2012 When he was director of central intelligence, Leon Panetta earned a reputation as an energetic advocate for his agency. When he replaced Robert Gates at the Pentagon, it was reasonable to hope that Panetta would continue to play the role of a senior statesman. And to some extent he has—explaining…
Romney Defense Spending Proposal a Return to Normal
Thomas Donnelly · May 10, 2012 CNNMoney has uncovered a shocking story: Mitt Romney will spend more on national defense than Barack Obama would!
Ryan vs. Dempsey
Gary Schmitt · April 9, 2012 Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey is getting an appetite for political controversy.
Dempsey and Ryan, Strategy and Budgets, cont.
Gary Schmitt · April 5, 2012 Earlier this week we wrote that the chairman of the Joints of Staff, Gen. Martin Dempsey, had “provoked a public confrontation” with House Budget Committee leader Rep. Paul Ryan. It appeared that Dempsey had made a grievous error by claiming that Ryan had “called [the JCS], collectively, liars.”
Be Unashamedly Wary of China’s Rise
Thomas Donnelly · April 3, 2012 Jane Perlez’s and William Wan’s articles in today’s papers (the New York Times and Washington Post, respectively) stand as a minor but important milestone in elite understanding of international relations in the 21st century. Though they provide only a summary of a Brookings monograph – the product…
A Path to Security
Gary Schmitt · April 2, 2012 Rep. Paul Ryan calls his budget plan the “Path to Prosperity,” but it could be termed as well a “Path to Security.” In reclaiming more than $200 billion of the nearly $500 billion in military cuts made in last year’s Budget Control Act (BCA), the House Budget Committee chairman takes national…
Leading Indicator of Decline
Thomas Donnelly · February 16, 2012 The $489 billion cut to defense budgets engineered by Barack Obama — as well as the played-for-fool Republican accomplices on Capitol Hill — won't just mean less American military power. These cuts have significant consequences for America's allies, as well.
The Obama Way of War
Thomas Donnelly · January 30, 2012 You can criticize Barack Obama—and fear not, I’m about to—but he has been a consequential president. Obamacare, his signature domestic accomplishment, is a substantial step toward the government-run health care program that Democrats have long desired. It may be hard to get rid of, even with a…
No Superpower Here
Gary Schmitt · January 16, 2012 With the end of the Cold War in sight, then-Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Colin Powell in the George H. W. Bush administration was asked how big the U.S. military should be. He replied, “We have to put a shingle outside our door saying, ‘Superpower Lives Here.’ ”
Iran Clocks Ticking
Thomas Donnelly · December 19, 2011 In his history of the long-running conflict between Iran and America, Kenneth Pollack writes of the “two clocks” that measure time as it relates to what he calls (in the title of his book) the Persian Puzzle. One, of course, is the countdown to a nuclear Iran. No one knows for certain how much time…
‘Building Partner Capacity’ and Its Consequences
Thomas Donnelly · December 13, 2011 The Yomiuri Shimbun newspaper is reporting that the Japanese government is close to settling on the F-35 Lightning as the much-needed replacement for its F-15 fighter. That’s exceptionally good news for a program that’s both key to preserving American military preeminence and at a lot of risk due…
War with Iran
Thomas Donnelly · November 29, 2011 Curiouser and curiouser. Iranian “students” sack the British embassy in Tehran. The Quds Force contracts with a Mexican “Zeta” cartel hit man to assassinate the Saudi ambassador whilst dining in Washington. Computers in Iran’s nuclear complex are struck by a “Stuxnet” cyber-weapon. A “mysterious…
Devaluing the Concurrency
Thomas Donnelly · October 27, 2011 “Concurrency” in defense programs – that is, overlapping development and production of weapons systems – has long been a controversial Pentagon practice. Not surprisingly, inventing something while beginning to build it, particularly something as complex as a modern warship, aircraft, or combat…
Recycling ‘Reset’
Thomas Donnelly · October 25, 2011 One of the core strategic beliefs of the Obama administration has been that their Bush predecessors overreacted to the attacks of 9/11 and became obsessively focused on the greater Middle East at the expense of East Asia or the “Asia-Pacific,” where the rise of China and India presages a new…
The Pakistan Illusion
Thomas Donnelly · October 24, 2011 During his four-year tenure as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen embodied the quiet professionalism of the American officer corps. He had been chief of naval operations, yet became the steward of two difficult and draining counter-insurgency campaigns, freeing generals in…
The Vast Iranian Network
Thomas Donnelly · October 13, 2011 Iran experts continue to express surprise and confusion that Iran’s Quds Force could be a part of such an amateurish and bungled operation.
Quds and Zetas
Thomas Donnelly · October 12, 2011 The revelation that the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps and its Quds Force had plotted to kill Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to the United States – by blowing him up as he dined at a Washington restaurant – is a stark reminder of the nature of the Tehran regime and its ambitions. But perhaps the…
No More Cuts
Gary Schmitt · October 10, 2011 Among the many shortcomings of the Budget Control Act and its spawn, the “Super Committee,” is that the threat of a sequestration “nuclear option”—in which some $600 billion would be cut automatically from national security accounts if congressmen do not find savings elsewhere—diverts attention…
Win this War
Thomas Donnelly · October 6, 2011 Afghan president Hamid Karzai’s rejection of talks with the Taliban has, it seems, tossed water on the prospects of a “political solution” between Kabul and the insurgents. Karzai’s decision, coupled with the recent statement of Admiral Mike Mullen about the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence’s…
Save the Lightning
Thomas Donnelly · September 12, 2011 Thanks to the provisions of the Budget Control Act and the subsequent directions of President Obama’s budget director, Jack Lew, the Department of Defense is figuring out how to trim $1 trillion from its current and planned budgets. Perhaps the principal target in the sights is the F-35 Joint…
A Welcome Convert
Thomas Donnelly · August 17, 2011 There is a certain irony, as well as much truth, in Defense Secretary Leon Panetta’s drumbeat of warnings about the consequences of further cuts to U.S. military budgets of the sort threatened under the current deficit reduction law.
A Moment of Truth
Thomas Donnelly · August 15, 2011 With the congressional “supercommittee” – or, to be precise, the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction – now complete, the stage is set for a very high drama indeed. Now comes the moment when Americans must confront the costs of remaining the world’s sole superpower, the guarantor of an…
The (Raw) Deal on Defense
Gary Schmitt · August 2, 2011 Now that the Great Debt Ceiling Deal has become the law of the land, it’s time to consider what just happened to America, and in particular to America’s armed forces. On the one hand, it’s complicated. On the other hand, it’s ugly.
An Extremely Immodest Proposal
Thomas Donnelly · July 18, 2011 In a letter to new Defense Secretary Leon Panetta last week, Senators Carl Levin and John McCain, the top men on the Senate Armed Services Committee, suggested it was time to look into terminating the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program. Angered by cost increases for the first three lots of low-rate…
His Lefty Military
Thomas Donnelly · June 16, 2011 When a New York Times op-ed columnist starts celebrating the virtues of the U.S. military, Dorothy, you know you’re not in Kansas any more.
'Enough'
Gary Schmitt · June 6, 2011 In the next month, after more than four decades of distinguished public service including almost five extraordinary years at the Pentagon supervising the successful surges in Iraq and Afghanistan, Defense Secretary Robert Gates will retire. He departs as the very model of a Washington “wise man,”…
A Vulcan Becomes Diogenes
Thomas Donnelly · May 16, 2011 In a Foreign Policy article, “Confessions of a Vulcan,” Dov Zakheim puts himself and his former Bush-era “Vulcan” colleagues in his analytical crosshairs, in particular on the subject of Afghanistan and the larger issue of “nation building,” or, as Zakheim more correctly and precisely defines it,…
You Get What You Pay For
Thomas Donnelly · May 16, 2011 The killing of Osama bin Laden says a lot about the United States at war. It occurred almost a decade after 9/11, contradicting the notion that a democracy can’t fight a long war. It demonstrates that our presence in Afghanistan, without which the raid would have been impossible, is our main point…
Muqtada Al Sadr’s Latest Ploy Gives U.S. an Opening in Iraq
Thomas Donnelly · May 12, 2011 Once again, Muqtada al Sadr may help the United States snatch success from the jaws of defeat in Iraq.
Some Words from a Wise Man
“There are those who say the United States should not be the global policeman. But if not us, who?”
Many Reasons for America's Continued Engagement in the Middle East
The New Yorker’s Ryan Lizza, who a week ago gave us the “lead from behind” version of the Obama Doctrine, now suggests that in the wake of the killing of Osama bin Laden, there may be yet another “new” direction for administration policy.
You Get What You Pay For
Charles Krauthammer has it right: the number one take-away from Osama bin Laden’s killing is the “reach, power and efficiency” of the American military. The reach is global, the power is both immense and immensely precise (President Obama was able to reject the bomb-it-to-smithereens option on…
Questions from the Killing of Osama Bin Laden
First reports from the battlefield are notoriously inaccurate, and it’s to be expected that they will be confusing and contradictory – and, considering that “sources and methods” and Pakistani sensibilities are fairly important in this case, probably intentionally misleading. The initial stories…
In Defense of Defense
Thomas Donnelly · April 25, 2011 In his budget speech last week, Barack Obama mounted his third attack on U.S. defense spending. In 2009 the White House directed Defense Secretary Robert Gates to terminate more than $300 billion in weapons programs, including the F-22 Raptor, the world’s most capable aircraft, and the Army’s…
Obama Guts Defense
Thomas Donnelly · April 13, 2011 In proposing to cut another $400 billion from U.S. defense budgets over the next ten years as part of his deficit reduction counter-offer, Barack Obama’s words were few. Yet they were revealing.
Who Will Defend Defense?
Thomas Donnelly · April 13, 2011 White House leaks indicate that President Obama’s upcoming deficit reduction plan will include about $400 billion in cuts from Pentagon budgets over the next 10 years. That might account for as much as 40 percent of the total spending cuts he proposes.
Whither Petraeus?
Thomas Donnelly · April 7, 2011 When there’s nothing better to do (and even when there is), folks in Washington gossip about the human parade passing through the world’s most powerful jobs. For years, the departure date and replacement for Defense secretary Robert Gates has been a prime source of speculative entertainment, but…
No Substitute for Power
Gary Schmitt · March 28, 2011 The crisis in Libya provides a useful reminder that the world’s demand for American power is rising. This is clearly the case in the Muslim world, which was in turmoil long before the current “Arab spring.” As Senator Richard Lugar recently fretted, “Libya might not be the last of these cases.”…
The Tanker Decision Goes to Boeing—and Smears Fly
Gary Schmitt · February 28, 2011 Perhaps it was inevitable. After ten years of contentious wrangling and with tens of billions of dollars going to the winner of the competition to build the U.S. Air Force's next fleet of tankers, no matter who won there would be recriminations and charges that the fix was in. If the European…
A Limited Government— and a Strong Defense
Gary Schmitt · February 21, 2011 Now begins the great business for which the voters recalled the Republican party to power in Washington: reestablishing the habits of limited government. Starting with the debate on the 2011 continuing resolution—last year’s Democratic majorities having failed to fund the government for the full…
Et Tu, CNAS?
Thomas Donnelly · February 14, 2011 The Center for a New American Security (CNAS) was founded to the sound of many hosannas in 2007. The organization was the brainchild of Kurt Campbell, now the assistant secretary of state for East Asia, and Michele Flournoy, who is now deputy secretary of defense and often mentioned as a potential…
Misguided Military Talk
Thomas Donnelly · February 9, 2011 “The Department of Defense is a government bureaucracy, cousin to the Department of Education, the Department of Agriculture, and the rest. That means it has the same Dawn of the Dead–zombie instincts.”
1979 Revisited
Thomas Donnelly · February 2, 2011 Scrambling for a simple standard to measure events in Egypt and across the Arab world, the blogosphere and the airwaves have been full of references to 1979. That point of reference is probably more apt than imagined, for much more happened that year than just the Iranian revolution. It was also…
Hu Cares?
Thomas Donnelly · January 31, 2011 For all the pomp and state-dinner circumstance, Hu Jintao’s visit to Washington generated little actual news. The Chinese “paramount leader” agreed to buy a few airplanes, agreed to talk a bit about human rights (with Chinese characteristics), and got some good press back home. All that our China…
Understrength Armey
Thomas Donnelly · January 20, 2011 In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, former House majority leader Dick Armey combines with his FreedomWorks partner Matt Kibbe to suggest “What Congress Should Cut” in order to reduce the deficit and debt.
Contra Kissinger
Thomas Donnelly · January 14, 2011 “The United States in the 20th century is an example of a state achieving eminence without conflict with the then-dominant countries.”
The Real Meaning of China’s “Stealth Fighter”
Thomas Donnelly · January 13, 2011 Most of the press accounts of China’s test flight of its new J-20 “stealth fighter” took their spin either by gauging whether it was a middle-finger welcome salute to Defense Secretary Robert Gates during his trip to Beijing, or whether Chinese leader Hu Jintao knew about the insult beforehand.
Defend Defense
Gary Schmitt · November 22, 2010 Do conservatives want a smaller and better government than we now have—properly limited and governed by the rule of law, but also energetically capable of accomplishing its appropriate ends? Or do conservatives just want to cut government willy-nilly, not only reducing its overall size but…
The Big D
Thomas Donnelly · November 8, 2010 The United States is at war. The Obama administration has, for better or worse, met its drawdown target in Iraq, but it has also made a far larger commitment to Afghanistan than it forecast in the 2008 campaign. In total, the demands made upon the U.S. military have not diminished. The costs of the…
America at War, 2010
Thomas Donnelly · October 18, 2010 Before there was 9/11, there was 10/12. A decade ago this week, al Qaeda operatives staged a spectacular suicide attack on the USS Cole while it was refueling in Aden, Yemen. The terrorists puttered up to the destroyer’s port side, waving at the U.S. sailors working on deck. Once aside the Cole,…
Special Editorial: Mr. President, Don’t Waste this Crisis
William Kristol · June 22, 2010
The Big Squeeze
Gary Schmitt · June 7, 2010 On the 65th anniversary of the Allied victory in Europe in early May, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates spoke at the Eisenhower Library in Abilene, Kansas. His speech was not about America’s unprecedented, massive marshalling of resources, men, and materiel to defeat the forces of fascism that…
The Disarming of America
Thomas Donnelly · February 15, 2010
Mission to Haiti
Thomas Donnelly · February 1, 2010
The Shores of Port-au-Prince
William Kristol · January 25, 2010 President Obama’s response to the Haitian earthquake has been sure-minded and swift. He saw the situation as “one of those moments that calls out for American leadership” and has acted accordingly.
The Obama Doctrine
Gary Schmitt · December 19, 2009 You could probably count on one hand the number of conservatives who expected President Obama to give the address he did in accepting the Nobel Peace Prize. After all, up until then, his major speeches had been built around such themes as nuclear disarmament, Muslim-American relations,…
McChrystal Lite
Thomas Donnelly · November 9, 2009 In its continuing search for an alternative to General Stanley McChrystal's comprehensive counterinsurgency approach to the war in Afghanistan, and with President Obama having eliminated the minimalist counterterrorism plan of Vice President Joe Biden, the White House has lately been floating a…
How England Prevailed
Thomas Donnelly · September 14, 2009 In his September 1 Washington Post column, George Will offered a prescription for U.S. retreat from Afghanistan: "Do only what can be done from offshore, using intelligence, drones, cruise missiles, air strikes and small, potent Special Forces units, concentrating on the porous 1,500-mile border…
The Friedman Theorem
Thomas Donnelly · July 29, 2009 Over at RealClearWorld, George Friedman of Stratfor has an interesting analysis of Vladimir Putin's Russia, in light of Joe Biden's Georgia-Ukraine trip and President Obama's Moscow sojourn. In sum, the vice president didn't so much "tell the truth" about and to Russia as he repackaged the…
Revolt of the Congress
Gary Schmitt · July 20, 2009 One of Barack Obama's most politically adept decisions upon winning the White House was to ask Robert Gates to remain in place as the nation's secretary of defense. By choosing Gates--who had served with distinction at the CIA, the National Security Council, and most recently at the Pentagon under…
Did I Say Billion? I Meant Trillion
Thomas Donnelly · May 11, 2009 Gibbs momentarily forgets just how egregious the numbers are.
Personnel as Policy?
Thomas Donnelly · May 11, 2009 The Obama administration's decision to replace Gen. David McKiernan as NATO commander in Afghanistan with Gen. Stanley McChrystal is a good thing, but it's much more a question of policy than personnel. The question is about the Obama administration's basic approach to the war in Afghanistan.…
Never Give Up, Round 2
Thomas Donnelly · April 17, 2009 Defense Secretary Robert Gates continued his whirlwind world tour of service war colleges, speaking at the Army's Carlisle Barracks yesterday. He also repeated the punch-line about the rescue of the captain of the Maersk Alabama from Somali pirates "not requiring a billion-dollar ship," although…
Never Give Up, Never Give In
Thomas Donnelly · April 16, 2009 "As we saw last week, you don't necessarily need a billion-dollar ship to chase down a bunch of teenage pirates." Defense Secretary Robert Gates was pretty pleased not only with the marksmanship of the Navy SEALs that ended the confrontation with the Somali pirates who tried to hijack the Maersk…
Obama's Afghan Mistake
Thomas Donnelly · March 27, 2009 "It is the most wasteful and ineffective program I have seen in 40 years." That is how Richard Holbrooke once described the Bush administration's counternarcotics efforts in Afghanistan. And even if one allows for the Holbrookian propensity to exaggeration and bombast, the ambassador had a good…
The Not-So-Great Game
Thomas Donnelly · March 16, 2009 In between his many appearances touting the stimulus package and the restructuring of the nation's financial institutions, housing markets, and automobile industry, Barack Obama made his first serious decision as America's commander in chief on February 17. He ordered an additional 17,000 U.S.…
Indefensible
Thomas Donnelly · March 9, 2009 The era of big government is back. But conservatives ought not simply to worry about the size of government or the federal deficit--although a $1.7 trillion deficit is an eye-popper. They should worry, too, about the shape of American government. Barack Obama may be running up World War II levels…
A Defamation of Burke
Thomas Donnelly · March 4, 2009 To allow Chas Freeman to claim the mantle of a "Burkean conservative" is a defamation of Burke. Though imbued with a conservative sense of human frailty and a belief that the love of liberty was an especially English trait, he also recognized, in arguing in Parliament for "conciliation with the…
They're Warriors, Not Victims
Thomas Donnelly · February 27, 2009 Here's the last part of today's speech by Obama: Finally, I want to be very clear that my strategy for ending the war in Iraq does not end with military plans or diplomatic agendas  it endures through our commitment to uphold our sacred trust with every man and woman who has served in Iraq. You…
Obama's Iraq Withdrawal Speech
Thomas Donnelly · February 27, 2009 President Obama delivered his Iraq withdrawal address at Camp Lejuene today: Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy
"You Cannot Outlast Us"
Thomas Donnelly · January 20, 2009 "You cannot outlast us, and we will defeat you." For many conservatives, I would guess for many Americans in uniform, this was the signature phrase in Barack Obama's inaugural. The Yes-We-Can man is no longer a candidate for office or a president-elect, but now commander-in-chief during times of…
"You Cannot Outlast Us"
Thomas Donnelly · January 20, 2009 "You cannot outlast us, and we will defeat you."
The Defense Stimulus
Thomas Donnelly · January 13, 2009 The politics of the current economic crisis are fluid -- the Bush administration's original diktats for bailing out the troubled financial sector and the auto industry have generated growing resistance -- but it's likely that Barack Obama will be able to produce a stimulus package quickly after his…
Gaza Is Not Lebanon
Thomas Donnelly · January 5, 2009 The conventional wisdom about the incursion by Israeli ground units into Gaza, mirrored in Sunday's Washington Post, is that "Israeli leaders run the risk of repeating their disastrous experience in the 2006 Lebanon war, when they suffered high casualties in ground combat with Hezbollah."…
Trying to Lose The War We're In
Thomas Donnelly · October 3, 2008 On Monday, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates gave another in the remarkable series of speeches of recent months, laying out the course he believes the U.S. armed forces must follow to prepare themselves for the conflicts of the 21st century. Addressing the National Defense University, he again…
Winning in Afghanistan
Thomas Donnelly · July 15, 2008 BARACK OBAMA IS STRIVING MIGHTILY to pass the commander-in-chief test by proposing that U.S. troops withdraw from Iraq, where we are on the verge of a decisive victory against al Qaeda and Iran's "special group" proxies, and reinforce the NATO mission in Afghanistan, where at best we're only…
The War We're In
Thomas Donnelly · July 14, 2008 IT'S REASSURING TO HEAR Sen. Barack Obama, a man who based his presidential bid on the supposed inevitability of defeat in Iraq, recognize the success of the surge, which he also predicted was bound to fail. But his New York Times op-ed today betrays a strategic understanding that is more deeply…
A Transformer in Disguise
Thomas Donnelly · June 23, 2008 Donald Rumsfeld's primary mission when he returned to the Pentagon as secretary of defense in 2001 was to transform the U.S. military to meet the missions of the new century. Today it seems more likely that it is his successor, Robert Gates, who will leave the lasting legacy.
Sadr's in a JAM
Thomas Donnelly · April 22, 2008 ALMOST FROM THE MOMENT IT began on March 25, the inside-the-Beltway Conventional Wisdom about the Iraqi Army's offensive against Muqtada al-Sadr's "Jaysh al Mahdi" militia and other, more criminal elements in the city of Basra--the second-largest city in Iraq and whose port is Iraq's lifeline to…
Podesta's Withdrawal at All Costs
Thomas Donnelly · February 26, 2008 More moderate Democrats are increasingly adjusting to the reality that the Iraq surge has been a military success, and that it is starting to create conditions for workable political compromise in Baghdad as well as Iraq's provinces--see, for example, the air of desperation that has seized the…
Three Steps Back
Thomas Donnelly · February 12, 2008 LAST WEEK BROUGHT another set of crises in Pakistan. Consider what happened in just the last three days:
Dissonance on Iraq
Thomas Donnelly · February 4, 2008 CONVENTIONAL WISDOM HAS it that, unlike in Vietnam, there is bipartisan support for "the troops" in Iraq despite the many arguments over the conduct of the war and whether U.S. forces should remain in Mesopotamia. This has been a mantra particularly for Democrats, who understand that they're…
The Obama Message: No We Can't
Thomas Donnelly · January 28, 2008 Senator Barack Obama's ability to touch the better angels of America's nature lies at the root of his candidacy and might become the defining framework of this year's presidential race. It's hard, even for his opponents, not to be moved by a candidate who calls us to transcend ourselves and…
Chicken Little Is Right
Gary Schmitt · January 28, 2008 On an early November day in the skies over southern Indiana, Maj. Steve Stilwell of the Missouri Air National Guard's 131st Fighter Wing was honing his air-to-air combat skills. As he threw his F-15 into a turn, he stressed his big Eagle at two to three times the force of gravity, a relatively…
Ready, Willing, and Able
Thomas Donnelly · September 24, 2007 In the wake of last week's Iraq-related developments in Washington, the strongest quasi-respectable argument available to Democrats who want to oppose President Bush and General Petraeus while sounding responsible is the claim that a troop drawdown larger than the one they propose is needed to…
Sustaining the Surge
Gary Schmitt · September 10, 2007 When General David Petraeus reports to Washington next week, the most important question he'll have to answer is, What happens in Iraq after the surge? With all but the most die-hard defeatists--that is, the congressional Democratic leadership--convinced that the surge has improved the security…
Orderly Humiliation
Thomas Donnelly · July 9, 2007 Operation Phantom Thunder, the first real effect of the Iraq troop surge of the past six months, is improving the battlefield situation in Baghdad and the surrounding towns. But in Washington, those who believe the war is already lost--call it the Clinton-Lugar axis--are mounting a surge of their…
Dissonance at theTimes
Thomas Donnelly · July 8, 2007 IT IS AN ESPECIALLY cruel but increasingly common irony of the war in Iraq that Washington and Baghdad are in separate universes: what happens over there is not much connected to what's happening back here. But Sunday's New York Times "Week in Review" section sets a new standard for cognitive…
NBC's Body Armor Embarrassment
Thomas Donnelly · June 20, 2007 ONE OF THE RECURRING themes of press coverage of the Long War, and particularly the conflict in Iraq, is that soldiers are victims. According to this trope, soldiers and Marines are sacrificing themselves in a cause already lost, by an administration that cares little for the men and women in…
The Army We Need
Thomas Donnelly · June 4, 2007 In wartime Washington there is but one point of bipartisan agreement: The land forces of the United States are too small. Hillary Clinton may be trying to make her fellow Democrats forget her vote to go to war in Iraq, but she insists that "it is past time to increase the end-strength of the Army…
The Pentagon Cash Crunch
The Senate majority leader's "position is irresponsible. . . . We won the war but we are in danger of losing the peace. [Our adversary] is counting on the United States and Europe losing interest--and losing our will--and not staying the course. . . . Funding in the supplemental would support . . .…
The Man for the Plan
Thomas Donnelly · January 29, 2007 "We need a man, and then a plan." So Field Marshall Bernard Law Montgomery is reported to have said when recommending General Sir Gerald Templer to be British high commissioner at the height of the Malayan insurgency. When, in January 1952, Templer was summoned to meet the prime minister, the…
Surge and Run?
Thomas Donnelly · December 11, 2006 IT JUST HASN'T WORKED OUT the way the punditocracy planned: The "adults" of the Bush 41 administration were supposed to talk Bush 43 off the ledge, get him to give up his dream of democracy in Iraq and return to reality. But the main recommendation of the Baker- Hamilton "Iraq Study…
Ink the India Deal
Vance Serchuk · June 12, 2006 WILL AMERICA'S PARTNERSHIP WITH INDIA fall victim to politics? The Bush administration's proposed agreement on civil nuclear cooperation with New Delhi--once predicted to win approval from Congress as early as June--is under a growing cloud. With the November midterm elections fast approaching, the…
The Loneliness of the Liberal Hawk
Thomas Donnelly · May 22, 2006 IT'S TOUGH TO BE a moderate Democrat. Hatred of George Bush has changed the loyal opposition into the bitter opposition, less interested in policy than in punishing their bête noire. It's particularly tough for Democrats who supported the invasion of Iraq, the defining George Bush moment, and who…
The Goal is Victory
Thomas Donnelly · December 1, 2005 OH, YEAH. Victory. Almost forgot about that one.
One Code to Rule Them All
Vance Serchuk · October 4, 2005 FOOL ME ONCE, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. When it comes to detaining prisoners seized in Iraq, Afghanistan and on the other fronts of the terror war, the Pentagon's "just-trust-us" mentality continues to undercut American strategy. Thankfully, Congress is at last on the verge of doing…
Chinese Power Play
Melissa Wisner · July 29, 2005 The melodramatic saga swirling around the sale of U.S. energy company Unocal has had a strong damsel-in-distress flavor about it: Will the fair maiden be rescued by Chevron Texaco-the nominally American knight in shining armor-or be spirited away by the Black Knight of Beijing, aka the China…
Unleashed
Thomas Donnelly · April 28, 2005 IN 2002, the movie Hero became an instant hit in China, where it was made by Zhang Yimou, perhaps the best-known Chinese director. When it opened in America last year--complete with an above-the-title imprimatur by haute auteur Quentin Tarantino--it was billed as an action-romance of the Crouching…
Nation Building, After All
Vance Serchuk · April 11, 2005 Ghazni, Afghanistan
Going Out for Indian
Thomas Donnelly · March 31, 2005 WITH THE NEWS from Iraq relegated to the back pages recently, last Friday's State Department briefing--especially since it was not devoted to Condoleezza Rice's latest fashion statements--attracted little attention. The subject: the evolving strategic partnership between the United States and…
The Pentagon's New Plan
Thomas Donnelly · March 25, 2005 NEWS FLASH: The brand-new National Defense Strategy of the United States--that's different from either the National Security Strategy (aka the "Bush Doctrine" of 2002) or the National Military Strategy (last year's attempt by the Joint Chiefs of Staff to pretend that the insurgency in Iraq was not…
China's Strategy
Thomas Donnelly · March 16, 2005 PERHAPS THE WISEST WORDS ever uttered--or attributed--to Ronald Reagan were: Don't just do something, sit there.
Allies and Allies
Thomas Donnelly · February 23, 2005 LET US TALK OF ALLIES, but not, at least for once this week, of Europeans.
Will the Truman Democrats Please Stand Up...
Thomas Donnelly · February 9, 2005 You'd think it would be a great time to be a small-L liberal: human freedom is on the march in such unlikely places as Iraq, Afghanistan, and even among the Palestinians. The president of the United States can't seem to go five minutes without praising the virtues of liberty, and realpolitikers…
The View from the Plane
Thomas Donnelly · February 2, 2005 I'VE JUST FLOWN IN from Afghanistan, and boy, are my arms tired. Simply sitting in an economy-class seat--even on British Airways, the world's only civilized airline--gave me quite a compacted feeling.
Through Scheuer's Eyes
Thomas Donnelly · January 27, 2005 Kabul
Fearing the Shia
Thomas Donnelly · January 13, 2005 THE ESTABLISHMENTARIAN CRITIQUE of President Bush's policy in Iraq--and the scheming neocons for whom the president is supposed to be the Manchurian Candidate--is that they are blinded by ideology. There is, almost certainly, a grain of truth in this, but it comes from a profound belief in the…
QDR Time
Thomas Donnelly · January 6, 2005 ONE OF THE OLD STANDBYS of Pentagon defense planning--particularly in the age of PowerPoint--is the notion of the "spectrum of conflict." The concept attempts to plot the gamut of military operations--from Kantian peace to Hobbesian Armageddon--along one axis, with the proper allocation of…
Who Forgot China?
Thomas Donnelly · December 30, 2004 THE POST-9/11 WORLD has been a mixed bag for the Chinese. The U.S. invasion of Afghanistan and the deployment of forces to Central Asia renewed fears of American encirclement and upset a decade of careful diplomacy. Beijing's efforts to negotiate security and stability along its continental…
We Were Right to Disband Them
Thomas Donnelly · December 23, 2004 ONE OF THE ENDURING CONTROVERSIES of the American experience in Iraq has been the decision to disband Saddam's army after toppling his regime. Current conventional wisdom holds that this was a huge mistake which accelerated the breakdown of order in Iraq. The trouble we're experiencing building new…
Rumsfeld's War
Thomas Donnelly · December 16, 2004 DEFENSE SECRETARY DONALD RUMSFELD'S meeting engagement with Army Specialist Thomas Wilson in Kuwait last week was not just a reality check for an arrogant and isolated Beltway bigwig. It was also, and perhaps more profoundly, an overdue reality check for what has proved in practice to be a terrible…
The New Seriousness
Thomas Donnelly · December 8, 2004 YOU DON'T KNOW what you don't know. And in war, you really don't know. At war in the Middle East, you never really know.
End of the Illusion
Thomas Donnelly · December 3, 2004 FALLUJA just might be the end of the beginning.
A Bigger, Badder, Better Army
Vance Serchuk · November 29, 2004 AT THE HEART of this fall's presidential campaign was a policy debate about the meaning of the "global war on terror." Is it, as George W. Bush came to understand, a struggle for the political future of the greater Middle East--a contest between liberalism and radical Islam to supplant the…
Intelligent Intelligence Reform
Thomas Donnelly · November 24, 2004 ANY FEARS that an expanded Republican majority on Capitol Hill would simply become a larger tool for the Bush administration have already been put to rest in the lame-duck session of the past week. Most notably, Reps. Duncan Hunter, chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, and James…
The New Order of Battle
Thomas Donnelly · November 18, 2004 WITH THE NOMINATIONS of Condoleezza Rice as secretary of State and Stephen Hadley to replace her as National Security adviser, the shape of the supreme command of Bush II is pretty clear: Rumsfeld is staying; Bush II will be like Bush I, only more so.
After Falluja
Thomas Donnelly · November 10, 2004 MORE THAN EIGHTEEN MONTHS after it began, Operation Iraqi Freedom may be entering its decisive phase. At last, the battle is being joined in the Sunni heartland. The stronghold of Saddam Hussein's rule was left relatively untouched in the initial invasion, was given a death-bed reprieve last…
What Next?
Thomas Donnelly · November 2, 2004 TODAY'S ELECTION is not simply a watershed in American politics, but a punctuation mark in the American war in the greater Middle East. Tomorrow--or whenever the outcome is certain--things will be very different.
The Vision Thing
Thomas Donnelly · October 27, 2004 NEXT WEEK'S ELECTION is rightly regarded as the first presidential contest of the post-9/11 world, but it is also a larger referendum on the role of the United States in the post-Cold War era. Iraq has so dominated the debate that it's easy to forget that the security challenges of the 21st century…
Ready, Steady
Thomas Donnelly · October 20, 2004 THIS NEWS FLASH FROM IRAQ: Combat has a negative effect on Army equipment readiness rates!
One War or Two?
Thomas Donnelly · October 5, 2004 IS IRAQ part of the "global war on terror" or a diversion from it? Is the war over once we capture Osama bin Laden--or kill him--or will it continue after? Should America side with the reactionaries or the revolutionaries?
Allies Uber Alles
Thomas Donnelly · September 23, 2004 WHAT IS IT with John Kerry and "allies?"
No Bargain
Thomas Donnelly · September 1, 2004 IN AN INTERVIEW with the Washington Post published yesterday, Democratic vice-presidential nominee John Edwards promised that a Kerry administration would offer a "grand bargain" to the totalitarian theocracy in Iran. This "grand bargain" would allow the Islamic state to keep its nuclear power…