Topic

Economics

339 articles 2010–2018

Chiefs + Rams = Greatness

Gregg Easterbrook · November 20, 2018

An all-time classic puts the future of the NFL on display. Plus: The NYT advocates for price controls, but not on newspapers; and how Donald Trump is like a cornerback.

Chiefs + Rams = Greatness

Gregg Easterbrook · November 20, 2018

An all-time classic puts the future of the NFL on display. Plus: The NYT advocates for price controls, but not on newspapers; and how Donald Trump is like a cornerback.

Crash Course

Robert F. Bruner · November 18, 2018

Ten years after the financial crisis, Robert F. Bruner surveys the best books on what went wrong and what still should be fixed.

What Trump Knows That Obama Didn’t

Fred Barnes · October 19, 2018

We now know why President Obama had to struggle so hard to spur the economy and allow it to grow more than 2 percent a year. And that was the high-water mark. In the last quarter of his presidency, growth had slipped to 1.5 percent. Today it’s obvious what Obama’s problem was. He had the wrong…

Trump's Fiscal Policy Is Moving from Loose to Reckless

Irwin M. Stelzer · September 8, 2018

“Oh, when will they ever learn?” asked Pete Seeger in 1955. Surely not by 2008, when Lehman Brothers, the fourth largest bank in America, was forced to file for bankruptcy after 158 years in business because Wall Street titans had failed to learn the lesson of crises past: that they must all hang…

Elizabeth Warren, European Corporatist

Ryan Bourne · August 20, 2018

The senator's Accountable Capitalism Act is economically questionable, and the latest example of a policy platform that amounts to a host of strictures, regulations, and oversights by the state.

Trump's Economy Might Not Be Enough to Save the House

Irwin M. Stelzer · August 11, 2018

With the November congressional elections only 87 days away, Donald Trump has added to his revolutionary use of tweets what might prove to be an outdated reliance on two old-fashioned electoral winners to pull Republican candidates through tough elections: a booming economy and promise-keeping.…

Is the Trump Economy Sustainable?

Irwin M. Stelzer · August 4, 2018

Growth trumps decline. That’s what President Trump is gambling on to hand him victory if the trade skirmish morphs into a trade war. The U.S. economy is growing at an annual rate of 4.1 percent and continues to create jobs. According to yesterday’s jobs report, the economy added 157,000 new jobs in…

Has Trump Won the Trade War with Europe?

Irwin M. Stelzer · July 28, 2018

On July 25, 2018, at approximately 3:00 p.m. eastern daylight time, the tweets fell silent, and a truce was declared on the European front of the trade war between the United States and, well, the rest of the world. President Donald Trump of the United States of America, and President Jean-Claude…

The Mindless Menace of Entry-Level Pay

The Scrapbook · July 27, 2018

The left-wing organization MoveOn subjected itself to ridicule this week by posting a message to its social media accounts: “Low wages are violence. Knowingly letting people suffer is violence. It must end.” The attached graphic had to do with the minimum wage, which the staff at MoveOn in their…

The Limits of Prosperity?

Irwin M. Stelzer · July 21, 2018

Lots of good news last week. "The economy is as good as it’s ever been, ever. . . . People can’t believe what’s happening,” says President Trump, abandoning his usual preference for understatement. Economic growth “may be 4 percent for a quarter or two” Larry Kudlow, the president’s economic…

Understanding the Economics of Trump's Trade War

Jim Prevor · July 18, 2018

The New York Times recently ran an article, "How Much Will the Trade War Cost a Typical American Family? Around $60 (So Far)", that shows how broad is the misunderstanding of President Trump’s tariffs. Roughly speaking the article added up the cost assuming everybody keeps buying from China. But…

'Just Let It Rip'

Irwin M. Stelzer · July 7, 2018

The American economic expansion, heading into its tenth year, still has room to run. So say some of the best regarded pundits. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta estimates that in the second quarter the economy has grown at an annual rate of 3.8 percent. Too gloomy a guess for forecasters at…

Trump's Trade War Really Might Be Easy to Win

Irwin M. Stelzer · June 25, 2018

Trump knows when to hold ‘em and knows when to fold ‘em, knows when to walk away and knows when to run, as Kenny Rogers advised all poker players. He was holding a losing hand when it came to handling the children brought to America illegally by mothers crossing the border illegally, so he folded…

The Substandard on AMC vs. MoviePass

TWS Podcast · June 20, 2018

On this latest micro episode, the Substandard breaks down the battle between MoviePass and now AMC Stubs A-List. JVL insists AMC Stubs membership has its privileges. Sonny and Vic remain skeptical. And question! Are there really three good movies to see each week?

Elon Musk's Latest Deal Is (also) Crazy

Jonathan Leaf · June 19, 2018

Elon Musk is in the news. (Again.) The latest announcement came last Thursday when Musk’s Boring Company signed a contract with the city of Chicago to build an "express loop" from O'Hare Airport to the city's downtown. In one important way, the deal is wholly unlike most of Musk's other projects—it…

Could Emerging Market Economies Be a Drag on U.S. Growth?

Irwin M. Stelzer · June 16, 2018

Economy watchers can’t seem to find anything to worry about, with the possible exception of a trade war that few believe will happen. The economy is growing, unemployment is down, labor force participation is up, inflation is hitting Fed targets, the stock market shrugs at bad news and embraces the…

The Euro Isn't Dead (Yet)

Diego Zuluaga · June 4, 2018

People have been forecasting the end of the euro since the currency came into being in the late 1990s. Yet the euro has survived five sovereign bailouts—including three successive ones of Greece (the continent’s most troubled economy)—and two bank rescues aimed at Spanish and Cypriot banks. The…

Oil Prices Are Sky-High: What Happened to Fracking?

Irwin M. Stelzer · May 19, 2018

Remember the good old days when experts decided that the power of the OPEC oil cartel to control oil prices had come to an end? That fracking had made the United States the swing producer, ramping up production any time prices started to rise? That the future of the world’s economy would be based…

America Will Win the Trade War with China

Irwin M. Stelzer · May 12, 2018

For over a decade there has been a trade war between China and America, with America playing the role of passive victim. China has required American firms investing in its country to take on a Chinese partner and turn over their technology, which it agreed not to do when it joined the World Trade…

NASA's Aging Workforce

Haley Byrd · May 4, 2018

A yearly Government Accountability Office report on NASA’s major projects outlined on Tuesday several challenges that the space agency faces, including cost growth and launch schedule delays. But the report also addressed a more complex topic: NASA’s aging workforce.

There's No Easy Cure For What Ails Higher Education

Barton Swaim · May 4, 2018

Every week brings news of some fresh campus absurdity—tenured professors saying and doing idiotic things, students cursing and attacking speakers while college authorities do nothing about it, schools proudly denying students due process. When news circulated recently that Penn State has forbidden…

After Trump

Irwin M. Stelzer · April 21, 2018

Never say Never. That’s what some of the Never Trumpers are saying, and even more are thinking. Both in private. They are afflicted with a nagging suspicion. Trump might, how shall they whisper it, Make America Great Again.

Inside the CBO's Crystal Ball

Irwin M. Stelzer · April 14, 2018

Seers at the Congressional Budget Office are guessing that due largely to the recent tax cuts, the economy will grow at an annual rate of 3.3 percent this year and 2.4 percent in 2019. Federal Reserve Board monetary policy gurus agree, and expect the tax cuts and the recent budget deal to give the…

Trump Is Betting Everything on the Economy

Irwin M. Stelzer · March 31, 2018

We don't hear much from Donald Trump about the stock market these days. Odd, that. There was a time when he took credit for its spectacular rise after his election. "The reason our stock market is so successful is because of me. I've always been great with money." Perhaps he has been absorbed with…

Marxism For Our Times

Ike Brannon · March 19, 2018

"What would a Das Kapital look like if written today?" may sound like a query that is more than a tad contrived, but in the hands of Rupert Younger and Frank Portnoy, who posed the question in a remarkable piece in the Financial Times recently, the conceit actually works quite well.

How Is Larry Kudlow Going to Get Along with Trump?

Irwin M. Stelzer · March 19, 2018

“Misery acquaints a man with strange bedfellows,” wrote Shakespeare. Although the odds that President Trump was reminded of that observation when re-reading The Tempest must be regarded as low, they are somewhat higher that he might at one time have stumbled across the modern variant, about…

What Drives the Books We Review?

Brian Wemple · March 9, 2018

What do a priest, a politician, and T. Boone Pickens have in common? You would think this is me talking about a weird thing I saw in a bar in Oklahoma once but it isn’t. (I’ve never been to Oklahoma nor would the good citizens of The Sooner State want me there.) The answer is they all have a profit…

Editorial: Navarro Proposal Takes Cronyism to a New Level

The Editors · March 7, 2018

President Trump’s recent decision to slap huge new tariffs on imported steel and aluminum is certain to wreak havoc on the American economy. So we argued last week when the decision was announced: Tariffs often make plenty of political sense but penalize domestic industries no less than foreign…

All Trump's Trade Wars

Irwin M. Stelzer · February 27, 2018

To ask coherence of President Trump is to ask too much of a man with the attention span of a tweet, and for whom cognitive dissonance is not something he spends nights losing sleep over. So we have had large tax cuts, putting money into the pockets of consumers, which will enable them to increase…

Visit Scotland, It's Dementia-Friendly

The Scrapbook · February 23, 2018

The Scrapbook takes a fairly dim view of the field known as “economic development.” We’re not opposed to governments facilitating economic growth when they can, but there are very few things government can do, proactively, to spur economic activity—though we can think of many, many things…

Editorial: Walmart vs. Amazon

The Editors · February 22, 2018

On Tuesday, Walmart’s value, as reflected in its stock price, dropped by more than 10 percent. That’s nearly $31 billion. It had a bad quarter and in no small part suffered as a result of complications with its online inventory restocking system—it ran out of some items in demand and so couldn’t…

The Three Risk Factors that Could Derail Trump's Economy

Irwin M. Stelzer · February 17, 2018

The president is setting the theme for the November congressional elections: We—he prefers “I” but might deign to share credit with Republican incumbents—have upped the pace of economic growth from below 2 percent to above 3 percent, created millions of new jobs, and cut taxes to put more money in…

The Case for Free Money

Tony Mecia · February 10, 2018

At first blush, universal basic income sounds like something dreamed up on a California commune or in a late-night college bull session. The idea: Just give people money. Ask nothing in return. Impose no requirement to work or to look for work. And don’t just give taxpayer money to people living in…

Why the Bond Market Trumps All

Irwin M. Stelzer · February 10, 2018

The bad news is that share prices have been plummeting, wiping billions in value off the holdings of investors and pension funds. The good news is that share prices are plummeting by thousands of points on the Dow, taking froth off markets and restoring monetary policy to its proper place in our…

The Optimists vs. the Eeyores

Irwin M. Stelzer · February 3, 2018

Rarely have both exuberance and anxiety run simultaneously at the high pitch evident these days at gatherings of investors. The exuberants are the noisiest right now. Trump tax cuts have produced a surge in business after-tax profits—which even before the tax cuts were up double digits compared…

Happy Birthday, Mr. Powell

Brian Wemple · January 30, 2018

Blow out the candles and cut the cake! On February 4 Jerome Powell will turn 65. The day before, he’ll replace Janet Yellen as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the first non-economist to hold the title in 40 years.

Are We Headed for a New, New-Normal?

Irwin M. Stelzer · January 20, 2018

The New Normal. Slow growth. Persistently low inflation threatening to morph into Japanese-style deflation. Stagnant wages. Rising inequality. The American Dream converted to a nightmare. All the result of the metastasizing of the regulatory and entitlement states, say the Republicans. No, it’s the…

Minimum Wage Hits Maximum Sandwich

The Scrapbook · January 19, 2018

As far as lunch deals go, Subway’s $5 footlong sandwich has been a hit with consumers. The company sees the promotion as a way to revive interest in its restaurants, which have struggled to attract diners in the last few years. In January, Subway brought the deal back for a limited time and now…

Trump's Looming Trade War with China

Irwin M. Stelzer · January 6, 2018

If Trump set your teeth on edge in 2017, prepare for a grinding 2018. The story coming out of the White House is that the need to garner congressional support for his tax cut forced the president to restrain his reformist-populist-belligerent instincts until his signature legislation was on the…

The Economics of 2018

Irwin M. Stelzer · January 2, 2018

“Mournful, dazed, sullen, traumatized, self-absorbed, defensive, remote, morbid, bleak, bummed-out, alienated, unprotected, besieged.” That’s how a leading pop music critic describes the music of choice of “millennial and younger listeners . . . making their way into an era of accelerating income…

Trump's Economy: So Much Winning

Irwin M. Stelzer · December 9, 2017

There was a time in the not-too distant past when the government’s monthly labor report was the most eagerly anticipated and influential of all economic data, and could move markets. Unemployment and a rising number of workers dropping out of the labor market meant the Great Recession had not run…

The Double-Headed CFPB

TWS Podcast · November 27, 2017

Today on the Daily Standard Podcast, senior writer Mark Hemingway talks with host Eric Felten about the fight over who is in charge of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

'Atlas Shrugged' at 60

Cathy Young · November 24, 2017

The Russian Revolution, the centennial of which has just passed, changed the world in more ways than one can count. But one little-noticed way in which it affected American intellectual life was by giving us Ayn Rand.

Othering Whites

James Bowman · November 24, 2017

Now it can be told: In 1968, I was one of those who got “clean for Gene.” I cut my hair and put on a jacket and tie to campaign for Senator Eugene McCarthy in the Democratic primaries of that year. Those of us who did so understood without having to have the matter explained to us that we were…

Privilege Your Check

Christopher Caldwell · November 24, 2017

A notice came last week from a newspaper I subscribe to. Since “offering check payments is becoming increasingly difficult to support,” the paper is “looking to move all our readers to digital payment methods.” The letter was bossy and presumptuous but the upshot was clear. There’s no longer anyone…

Should Passive Funds Be Active?

Ike Brannon · November 14, 2017

Investment companies that run index funds—which merely seek to replicate the ups and downs of a broader market index and that entail no investment strategy by any managers—are becoming ever more popular, with a greater proportion of our retirement savings are going into them. Forty percent of all…

Tax Reform Must Not Keep Tax Breaks for Real Estate

Ike Brannon · November 8, 2017

As the House Ways and Means committee proceeds with the markup of its landmark tax reform proposal, one change that seems inevitable is the curtailment of the modest reforms of the myriad home ownership tax breaks contained in the original legislation. These included capping the deduction for…

Keynes Unable

Helen Andrews · November 3, 2017

Robert Skidelsky, whose biography of John Maynard Keynes is unlikely ever to be surpassed, judged that his subject “never needed a Jehovah, because he had never experienced despair.” Skidelsky was speaking of religion and morals, a department where Keynes was a typical Bloomsbury hedonist. In…

First They Came for Elmo...

The Scrapbook · October 27, 2017

For the vast edifice of baloney that is social psychology, there’s been good news and bad news lately. The good news is that Richard Thaler won the Nobel Prize. Thaler is the foremost evangelist for behavioral economics—the parasitic discipline that uses the findings of social psychology to…

The Dismal Science of Richard Thaler

Andrew Ferguson · October 17, 2017

We call it the Nobel prize in economics, but the Nobel that Richard Thaler won last week is technically a prize in “economic sciences,” and that bit of self-puffery (Oh, we’re scientists now, are we?) is fitting. Thaler is a pioneer of behavioral economics, the latest craze to sweep a trade not…

The 'Nudge' Nobelist

Andrew Ferguson · October 13, 2017

We call it the Nobel prize in economics, but the Nobel that Richard Thaler won last week is technically a prize in “economic sciences,” and that bit of self-puffery (Oh, we’re scientists now, are we?) is fitting. Thaler is a pioneer of behavioral economics, the latest craze to sweep a trade not…

Nudgy Nobel

TWS Podcast · October 10, 2017

Andrew Ferguson talks with host Eric Felten about the problems with Richard Thaler's Nobel-winning Behavioral Economics.

How Will Trump Remake the Federal Reserve Board?

Irwin M. Stelzer · September 9, 2017

And then there were four. Vacancies on the Federal Reserve Bank’s seven-person board of governors, that is, now that vice-chair Stanley Fischer has tendered his resignation for “personal reasons”—widely believed to be his wife’s health.

Shopping 'Local' Doesn't Make Sense

Kevin Cochrane · August 31, 2017

We’ve all heard the ubiquitous urban legend: “Large retailers ruin local economies.” Typically, big-box critics assert that mega-retailers cause lower wages, lower prices force mom-and-pops out of business, and profits aren’t reinvested locally.

The Great Recession: Ten Years Later

Irwin M. Stelzer · August 12, 2017

Ten years ago, almost to the day, something went wrong with the American banking system. So horribly wrong that it almost brought down the entire system of international finance and caused what is now known as the Great Recession.

Stelzer: 'Markets and Competition Work'

Jonathan V. Last · August 8, 2017

Over the years Irwin Stelzer has been one of my favorite economists. He is a direct, yet graceful, writer, a clear thinker, and an analyst possessing large amounts of both humility and charitability. I like to think of him as the anti-Krugman.

Amtrak Chief Admits His Rail System Is a Financial Loser

Grant Wishard · July 21, 2017

Amtrak interim CEO Charles W. Moorman III made a rare admission for a businessman in a speech last week: His company is never going to make a profit. That’s no surprise to anyone who knows anything about Amtrak, which has cost taxpayers more than $45 billion in subsidies since service began in…

Where Every Young Man Is King

Alice B. Lloyd · June 14, 2017

A college preparatory school for black and Latino boys opened in Washington, D.C., last year to a burst of public interest—and the inevitable question from the American Civil Liberties Union of the Nation's Capital: What have you done for girls lately? In the city's newest public high school,…

State of the City

Robert Whitcomb · June 11, 2017

Central to the rise of the island of Singapore as one of the world's most important cities are its location on one of the planet's most important waterways and crossroads and its potent mix of the behavioral values of two cultures—British and overseas Chinese.

A Separate Place

Alice B. Lloyd · June 9, 2017

A college preparatory school for black and Latino boys opened in Washington, D.C., last year to a burst of public interest—and the inevitable question from the American Civil Liberties Union of the Nation's Capital: What have you done for girls lately? In the city's newest public high school,…

State of the City

Robert Whitcomb · June 9, 2017

Central to the rise of the island of Singapore as one of the world's most important cities are its location on one of the planet's most important waterways and crossroads and its potent mix of the behavioral values of two cultures—British and overseas Chinese.

David Malpass, Treasury's Conservative Standard Bearer

Ike Brannon · June 7, 2017

It appears that the Treasury will soon be getting a champion of the pro-growth conservative crowd on its team in David Malpass, who has his confirmation hearing for Undersecretary for International Affairs in front of the Senate Finance Committee on Wednesday.

I'm Pretty Sure the U.S. Is More Peaceful Than Myanmar

Chris Deaton · June 1, 2017

The United States has experienced a tumultuous last decade. It's endured an historic financial crisis, prolonged government dysfunction, eroding trust in public institutions, a farcical presidential election, and Twitter. No society should have to suffer any of these. But gaze upon the world for…

Tigers at Bay

John Psaropoulos · May 31, 2017

There is little doubt among economic forecasters that over the medium term, Asia's emerging economies—China and India foremost among them—are expected to drive global economic growth. Taken as one, the region from India to Japan is not only the biggest market for raw materials, energy, and the…

The American Engine Could Use a Tune-up

Jonathan Marks · May 30, 2017

We will soon, TED talks promise, travel to the beach in driverless cars, where our artificial blood cells will enable us to stay underwater for hours. But we may prefer the virtual reality we will be able to inhabit thanks to direct brain implants, which will have replaced unfashionable headsets.…

Rested and Ready?

Jonathan Marks · May 26, 2017

We will soon, TED talks promise, travel to the beach in driverless cars, where our artificial blood cells will enable us to stay underwater for hours. But we may prefer the virtual reality we will be able to inhabit thanks to direct brain implants, which will have replaced unfashionable headsets.…

Tigers at Bay

John Psaropoulos · May 26, 2017

There is little doubt among economic forecasters that over the medium term, Asia's emerging economies—China and India foremost among them—are expected to drive global economic growth. Taken as one, the region from India to Japan is not only the biggest market for raw materials, energy, and the…

Keanu Reeves and the Economics of Movie Mayhem

Joe Queenan · May 20, 2017

In the deceptively thoughtful 2014 action film John Wick, Keanu Reeves plays a recently widowed assassin who comes out of retirement after Russian gangsters beat him up, steal his car, and kill his dog. Miffed about the car, not too happy about the beating, but furious about the demise of his…

Retaliation Nation

Irwin M. Stelzer · May 19, 2017

There is something dispiriting about the debate over trade policy, and the problem does not lie with Donald Trump, or his tweets, or his on-again, off-again threats to various trading partners, or his fickle choice of partners to head the negotiating queue: EU to the front, Brexiting Britain to the…

The Hit Parade

Joe Queenan · May 19, 2017

In the deceptively thoughtful 2014 action film John Wick, Keanu Reeves plays a recently widowed assassin who comes out of retirement after Russian gangsters beat him up, steal his car, and kill his dog. Miffed about the car, not too happy about the beating, but furious about the demise of his…

Winners and Losers

Peter Hansen · May 19, 2017

Anyone wishing to learn more about the economic effects of immigration on America and American workers would do well to read this book. George J. Borjas is a highly respected economist at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and one of the world's foremost experts on the economics of immigration.…

Welcome to the Fight, President Moon

Charles Sauer · May 18, 2017

For years, the U.S. market has been much more open to Korean goods than Korea was to U.S. goods. The U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement that went into effect in 2012 was supposed to change this. But that hasn't been the case. And President Trump agrees. In a recent interview he told Reuters, "It's a…

The Higher and Higher Cost of Higher Ed

Jimmy Sengenberger · May 15, 2017

It's that time of year again: Graduating high school students, consumed by "senioritis," are making that all-important decision of which college or university they will attend. And their parents, consumed by anxiety, are aghast at the ever-growing cost of higher education.

A Modest Proposal

Stephen Miller · May 12, 2017

In his address to Congress, President Trump promised that "dying industries will come roaring back to life." I think the president should be even more ambitious: He should seriously consider bringing back industries and services that have already died. And I can think of two "dead" products that…

The Higher and Higher Cost of Higher Ed

Jimmy Sengenberger · May 12, 2017

It's that time of year again: Graduating high school students, consumed by "senioritis," are making that all-important decision of which college or university they will attend. And their parents, consumed by anxiety, are aghast at the ever-growing cost of higher education.

The Times, They Are a-Changin'

Irwin M. Stelzer · May 6, 2017

Monetary policy is on hold: The Fed has set a pattern of interest rate increases and is sticking to it. Fiscal policy is also on hold. Republican scorpions bottled in the House of Representatives are split between deficit hawks and deficit doves, and those favoring a border tax and those joining…

The Times, They Are a-Changin'

Irwin M. Stelzer · May 6, 2017

Monetary policy is on hold: The Fed has set a pattern of interest rate increases and is sticking to it. Fiscal policy is also on hold. Republican scorpions bottled in the House of Representatives are split between deficit hawks and deficit doves, and those favoring a border tax and those joining…

Trump's First Step On The Long Road to Tax Cuts

Irwin M. Stelzer · April 29, 2017

Barack Obama thought a 28 percent corporate tax rate is about right. House Republicans think 20 percent would make America competitive again. Donald Trump thinks a 15 percent rate would Make America Great Again. And for comparison, Britain's prime minister Theresa May thinks 17 percent would make a…

End of the Honeymoon

Irwin M. Stelzer · April 22, 2017

The impending end of Donald Trump's break-in period is as good a time as any to see where he will go from here. The first 100 days are typically a honeymoon, during which the political knives remain sheathed. Not this time. Political back-stabbing, intra- and interparty, is rife. Democrats are…

The Trump Presidency: Now and After Day 100

Irwin M. Stelzer · April 15, 2017

In two weeks Donald Trump will serve his one-hundredth day as President of the United States of America. He approaches that milestone with an approval rating of 40 percent, the lowest of any modern-day president at this stage of his tenure. The man who made his reputation, and part of any fortune…

Labor Pains

Irwin M. Stelzer · April 8, 2017

The American economy added a mere 98,000 jobs last month, less than half the number expected. Not good enough for President Trump, who not only wants more jobs: He wants them for coal miners and those horny handed sons of toil who once were the backbone of the American manufacturing work force. To…

Teaching by Numbers

Irwin M. Stelzer · March 27, 2017

This is a revolt of the masses, in this case masses of economic students from around the world who came of age during the 2008 financial crisis and have united in a movement they call Rethinking Economics. The leaders of the movement, which according to the Guardian has grown to 43 student…

Teaching by Numbers

Irwin M. Stelzer · March 24, 2017

This is a revolt of the masses, in this case masses of economic students from around the world who came of age during the 2008 financial crisis and have united in a movement they call Rethinking Economics. The leaders of the movement, which according to the Guardian has grown to 43 student…

Trump Gets an Early Victory with Jobs Report

Tony Mecia · March 10, 2017

The stock market is through the roof. Consumer confidence is at a 15-year high. And this morning, in the first full monthly jobs report from the Labor Department, comes news that the country added 235,000 jobs in February. That pace is about the same as it was the month before and about double the…

The Trump Economic Target

Irwin M. Stelzer · March 4, 2017

There is only one way President Trump can square a circle, a circle in which he will meet himself coming around as he tries to deliver on his promises. Call it the 3-1/2-percent solution. No, not a cocaine shot half as potent as the 7-percent solution self-administered by the world's most famous…

The Adult in the Room

Michael Warren · March 3, 2017

Gary Cohn isn’t the oldest of President Donald Trump's senior White House aides, or the most experienced, at least when it comes to government. Indeed, unlike Mike Pence, Reince Priebus, and Kellyanne Conway, Cohn has no experience in politics to speak of. He's not even a Republican!

The Scourge of Cost Disease

Jonathan V. Last · February 23, 2017

I frequently point you to the writings of Scott Alexander, a psychiatrist and blogger who I think of as the liberal Theodore Dalrymple. His blog is called Slate Star Codex and he's pretty great.

The Right Cure for What Ails Our Economy

Lawrence Lindsey · February 17, 2017

Writing good policy is very much like seeing a skilled intern­ist. First, the doctor decides that you really are sick. Next, he determines exactly what's wrong. Only then does he choose an appropriate prescription. Too much of policymaking ignores these steps, opting instead to focus on what the…

The Gucci-Lined Path to Tax Reform

Charles Sauer · February 14, 2017

Sometimes, if you are quiet enough in Washington, D.C., you can hear the distinct sound of supple Gucci leather creaking its way around town. And with the Trump administration now in office, and tax reform again on the horizon, the quiet sound has become a roar. The shoe polish smell alone can be…

What Did Adam Smith Really Believe?

Stephen Miller · February 13, 2017

Adam Smith (1723-1790) may be the most misunderstood British thinker of the last 500 years—misunderstood not by intellectual historians but by journalists and the educated public. A case in point: Steven Pearlstein, a well-regarded business journalist, asserts that Smith argued that the…

Trump Derangement Syndrome Comes to the Markets

Irwin M. Stelzer · February 11, 2017

A spectre is haunting America, the spectre of TDS. That is the acronym for the plague that is afflicting half of our adult population, more than half if truth be told, and many youngsters whose parents have exposed them to the disease. According to Bernard Goldberg, writing in his column, some…

Invisible Handler

Stephen Miller · February 10, 2017

Adam Smith (1723-1790) may be the most misunderstood British thinker of the last 500 years—misunderstood not by intellectual historians but by journalists and the educated public. A case in point: Steven Pearlstein, a well-regarded business journalist, asserts that Smith argued that the…

The Right Cure

Lawrence Lindsey · February 10, 2017

Writing good policy is very much like seeing a skilled intern­ist. First, the doctor decides that you really are sick. Next, he determines exactly what's wrong. Only then does he choose an appropriate prescription. Too much of policymaking ignores these steps, opting instead to focus on what the…

China's Currency Games Have Been Helping, Not Harming, the Dollar

Benn Steil · February 9, 2017

It is the exorbitant privilege of the United States that it can conjure the world's primary reserve currency, Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, then French finance minister and later president, remarked half a century ago. This privilege, maintained as the dollar took the place of gold, allows the United…

Let's Boost Building

Ike Brannon · February 8, 2017

Nearly every household in the country spends a sizable proportion of its income on housing. The median household allots over one-third of its income to keeping a roof over its head, and the annual expenditure of the median earner's income on housing has increased by 35 percent since 2000.

The Path to Trump's Success Runs Through Congress

Irwin M. Stelzer · February 4, 2017

Most presidential honeymoons are characterized by congressional and presidential vows of everlasting cooperation, but the policy cohabitations are soon torn asunder by the healthy re-emergence of political differences. President Trump's honeymoon period was different. He chose to abuse his…

Housing's Drag on the Economy

Ike Brannon · February 3, 2017

Nearly every household in the country spends a sizable proportion of its income on housing. The median household allots over one-third of its income to keeping a roof over its head, and the annual expenditure of the median earner’s income on housing has increased by 35 percent since 2000.

Of Debt and Detriment

Benn Steil · February 3, 2017

It is the exorbitant privilege of the United States that it can conjure the world’s primary reserve currency, Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, then French finance minister and later president, remarked half a century ago. This privilege, maintained as the dollar took the place of gold, allows the United…

Trump Takes On the Old Order

Irwin M. Stelzer · January 28, 2017

He means it. The President of the United States of America Donald Trump says he will use the power of his office to tear up the post-WWII international and domestic settlements. No more world policeman, spending blood and treasure to protect nations that won't defend themselves. No more…

Trump: Promises and Uncertainty

Irwin M. Stelzer · January 21, 2017

The symbolism of President Donald Trump's pre-inaugural appearance before the Lincoln Memorial was part of his effort to show that he is sympathetic to the aspirations of the black community even though one of its leaders declared him "illegitimate" and added a boycott of Friday's swearing-in to…

Get Ready for Trump Vs. Ryan

Irwin M. Stelzer · January 14, 2017

A week from Monday, when the post-inauguration revelries, which include a "Deplorables Ball", are no more, Donald J. Trump, the forty-fifth President of the United States of America, will for the first time become fully aware of the 115th Congress of the United States of America. Although he has…

Corn Wars

Kevin Cochrane · January 10, 2017

Writing in the Wealth of Nations in 1776, Adam Smith stated that, "corn is a necessary, silver is only a superfluity (sic)." Faced with a growing population and flattening agricultural productivity, essentially what Smith was pointing out was the world needed more corn and less silver.

What's In Store for 2017?

Irwin M. Stelzer · December 31, 2016

Ring out the old. Please. Only 18 percent of Americans say things got better for the country in 2016 than they had been in 2015. Ring in the new. Please. Some 55 percent of Americans expect 2017 to be better for them than was 2016, up twelve points on last year's poll. Consumer confidence is at a…

Trump the Caudillo

Irwin M. Stelzer · December 10, 2016

There's going to be a new sheriff in town, or as one businessman put it, "We now have to plan for the big fist in the sky." Doug Oberman, CEO of Caterpillar and chairman of the big-businessmen-only Business Roundtable told his members, "Some of us may bear our turn in the bullseye." And some…

Puerto Rico Is Using a Phony Pension Crisis to Sabotage Reform

Ike Brannon · December 7, 2016

In the months since the passage of PROMESA and the implementation of Congress' Federal Oversight Board, Puerto Rico's woefully underfunded pension systems have taken center stage in discussions concerning the island's fiscal reform. While there is no disputing that the Commonwealth's pension plans…

Patents, Protection, and Pina Coladas

Charles Sauer · December 6, 2016

The dream of developing the next best mousetrap, selling it, and then retiring or moving on to create the next big thing is part and parcel of the American vision of success. Strong intellectual property rights are critical to protecting innovation—protections were enshrined in Article 1, Section 8…

The Economics of Trumpism

Irwin M. Stelzer · November 19, 2016

So much ink and punditry is being expended on gossip about how President-elect Trump might cast his play, that too little attention is being paid to the plot. Not that the cast won't matter: Those with roles at key agencies can contribute to the success or failure of the drama now unfolding here in…

Puerto Rico's Oversight Board May Be on the Verge of a Misstep

Ike Brannon · November 17, 2016

It is common knowledge that Puerto Rico is a financial mess and that it arrived at its current predicament due to its government's unwillingness to make difficult decisions. Ex-Governor Luis Fortuno made an attempt to return the island's finances to sanity, but his efforts cost him his reelection…

In the Long Run

Michael M. Rosen · November 11, 2016

As impassioned calls to curb income inequality, including through a growing movement to establish a “guaranteed basic income," have increasingly dominated the political conversation here and abroad, Edward Conard's contrarian argument for pro-growth policies—including those that inevitably increase…

In the Long Run

Michael M. Rosen · November 11, 2016

As impassioned calls to curb income inequality, including through a growing movement to establish a “guaranteed basic income," have increasingly dominated the political conversation here and abroad, Edward Conard's contrarian argument for pro-growth policies—including those that inevitably increase…

Beware the Bellwether of Vigo County, Indiana

Chris Deaton · November 8, 2016

Before there was Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Bill Mitchell's Yard Signs, there was Vigo County, Indiana. The half-urban, half-rural area about 80 miles southwest of Indianapolis has voted for the winner of the presidential race in 30 of the last 32 elections, and…

The Side Effects of Trump

Charles Sauer · November 8, 2016

Like a new drug commercial with a list of side effects longer than the problem it solves, Donald Trump's campaign is leaving behind a wake of issues for the Republicans, the economy, and public policy in general. Despite Trump's distracting 3 am tweets, his unapologetic sexism, and his contempt for…

The Next President and the Economy

Irwin M. Stelzer · November 5, 2016

Three days hence those Americans not too lazy, or not seriously unhappy with the choice before them, will join the 37 million who have already voted. Hillary Clinton is hoping they will have taken on board Friday's jobs report. The economy added 161,000 jobs in October, and the reports for the past…

Clinton's Childcare Plan Would Be a Giveaway to the Affluent

Kevin Cochrane · November 1, 2016

Daycare used to be downright quaint: When I was a kid, my "daycare center" was Mr. and Mrs. Cummings' front yard across the street from my house. I walked there after school and under their careful watch I played every dangerous game that existed until my parents got home from work. The cost of…

The Debate Revealed There's No One to Defend Free Enterprise

Michael Warren · September 29, 2016

Writing at City Journal, Clifford Asness notes that neither candidate on the debate stage Monday night seemed willing or able to defend free enterprise or conservative economic ideas. "There were many frustrating examples in the first debate of Donald Trump failing even to challenge Hillary…

Are We At Peak Beer?

Jonathan V. Last · September 29, 2016

I live in a little homogenized exurb about 30 miles outside of Washington. Way outside of the Beltway. Out in the "real Virginia," as George Allen once unfortunately put it. And over the weekend my little town had two craft breweries open. That's in addition to the brewery that opened last year.…

Economic Data and the Election

Irwin M. Stelzer · September 19, 2016

There are times when inordinate importance is attached to a data release. Those are times to follow rules: averages can be deceiving: you can drown in a lake with an average depth of three feet; and disaggregate to get an understanding of the real-world significance of the data.

Confab: Trumponomics

TWS Podcast · September 17, 2016

In this episode of THE WEEKLY STANDARD Confab, Fred Barnes talks Trump's economic plans—are they conservative? Vic Matus joins host Eric Felten to quaff some campaign cocktails, and author Daniel Wattenberg comes by to regale us with the exploits of Stephen Decatur.

Affluent Society

Jay Weiser · September 9, 2016

This spectacular history traces the rise and plateau of the American economy since industrialization. Massive productivity gains from a networked society led to huge rises in life expectancy and per capita income. Addressing the slowdown of recent decades, economist Robert J. Gordon adopts the…

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