We Got Polling Data on 3,000 Trump Tweets. Here's What We Found.
David Byler · July 9, 2018 Nearly every news cycle in the Trump Era contains at least one predictable part—the Trump Tweet. Whether the news cycle is about a policy debate, a political scandal, a cultural fight between Trump and a celebrity—or something else entirely—the president almost always tweets something.
Introducing the TWS SwingSeat Model
David Byler · June 20, 2018 A user manual for our Senate prediction model.
The 'Outsiders' Lost on Tuesday
David Byler · May 9, 2018 Both Republicans and Democrats avoided elevating bad candidates in marquee races.
How Much Would a Blankenship Nomination Hurt West Virginia Republicans?
David Byler · May 8, 2018 A sober, quantitative analysis of a completely bonkers primary.
Afternoon Links: Hacking the Data for Clicks, a Heck of a Pardon Request, and Michelle Obama's Book
Jim Swift · February 26, 2018 What's in this week's issue? Get a preview of our articles and features in this video from editor in chief Stephen F. Hayes:
How to Build a Senate Election Model: Step 1
David Byler · February 23, 2018 Which party is going to win control of the Senate in the midterm elections? It’s a simple question. But also a difficult one. And right now, I’m in the middle of the process of building a model that will try to shed some light on it by calculating win probabilities for every Senate contest.
President Trump Is (Still) Outpolling House Republicans
David Byler · November 13, 2017 Are Republicans going to lose the House in 2018? And if they do, will it be President Trump’s fault?
Most Democrat Supporters of Paid Leave Say It Should Come from Employers
Tatiana Lozano · March 24, 2017 A Pew Research survey released on Thursday indicates that Americans of both parties want employers, not the government, to administer paid family and medical leave.
A Step in the Right Direction on Data Privacy
Charles Sauer · September 21, 2016 The Internet has transformed the world so much over the last 20 years that the only constant is news articles that open by declaring how much the Internet has transformed the world.
The Everyday Economy
Geoffrey Norman · May 22, 2015 Michelle Jamrisko at Bloomberg writes:
Feds Looking for Company to Run 'National Data Warehouse' for Obamacare, Medicare
Jeryl Bier · January 2, 2015 The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is looking for vendors to run its "National Data Warehouse," a database for "capturing, aggregating, and analyzing information" related to beneficiary and customer experiences with Medicare and the federal Obamacare marketplaces. Although the…
State Dept. to 'Promote Gender-Sensitive Data'
Jeryl Bier · December 16, 2014 Deputy Secretary of State for Management and Resources Heather Higginbottom joined former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg in New York Monday for a Data2X event to "promote gender-sensitive data." Data2X is a United Nations Foundation sponsored…
Feds Plan for 35 Agencies to Help Collect, Share, Use Electronic Health Info
Jeryl Bier · December 9, 2014 Along with the primary goal of expanding the availability of health insurance, the Affordable Care Act aims to make the use of Electronic Health Records (EHR) universal. This plan actually began with the 2009 stimulus (the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act), which included the Health…
Postal Service Explores Sensors, Data Collection Via 'Vehicles, Mailboxes, Machines, Letter Carriers'
Jeryl Bier · June 18, 2014 The U.S. Postal Service is seeking a company to help develop a program called the Internet of Postal Things. The Risk Analysis Research Center (RARC), part of the Postal Service's Office of the Inspector General (OIG), is looking for a supplier "who possesses expertise and critical knowledge of the…
Obamacare Contractor Pays Employees to Spend Their Days Doing Nothing
Daniel Halper · May 13, 2014 An eye-opening report from KMOV about an Obamacare contractor using taxpayer dollars to pay their employees to spend all day doing nothing:
Bad Faith Meets Bad Science
Alex Vuckovic · April 22, 2014 The attempts of defenders of Obamacare to rouse the American people in favor of the doomed monstrosity have become more desperate and bizarre. The most recent example is taking place in Florida, where the sudden death of a young uninsured woman is being cited as an indictment of the…
The Politics of Music
Geoffrey Norman · February 14, 2014 Millions of people get their music through Pandora and this being the age when no data is left unmined, the preferences of this vast audience will soon be used for political purposes. As Elizabeth Dwoskin of the Wall Street Journal reports:
Security Expert: Attacker Can Host Any Content Under Healthcare.gov Umbrella
Jeryl Bier · January 24, 2014 A security expert who has testified before Congress and spoken to the media about vulnerabilities of the Healthcare.gov website has weighed in on the website's latest security issue, which was first reported Thursday by THE WEEKLY STANDARD. David Kennedy, the CEO of TrustedSec, an information…
Opportunistic Marketers Exploit Opening at Healthcare.gov
Jeryl Bier · January 23, 2014 At least three marketers of health-related or insurance products and services have taken advantage of the "data-set" feature at Healthcare.gov to give themselves a virtual presence on the federal government's Obamacare site. The ability to use a web address containing "healthcare.gov" may lend…
Bye-Bye, Privacy
Jonathan V. Last · November 18, 2013 Americans are methodically dealing with the Kübler-Ross stages of Obama-care grief, with our national healing process moving briskly through roughly one stage per week: (1) denial upon realizing that the website HealthCare.gov didn’t work; (2) anger at the realization that the technical back-end of…
Not All Marriages Are Created Equal
Jonathan V. Last · October 9, 2013 While everyone else has spent the last few days obsessing about Gravity, the government shutdown, and the real possibility that the NFC East division champ will have six wins, it’s quietly been an interesting week for sociology nerds who think about marriage.
Jobs Report Withdrawal
Geoffrey Norman · October 4, 2013 The adverb "unexpectedly" gets a rest today. It has earned it.
WH on Number of Enrollees in Obamacare: We 'Don't Have that Data'
Daniel Halper · October 3, 2013 White House spokesman Jay Carney, an "essential" federal employee, can tell you how many people have visited the Obamacare website ("7 million") but he can't tell you how many people have enrolled in Obamacare:
Privacy Be Damned, Continued
Michael Astrue · August 7, 2013 In my recent WEEKLY STANDARD essay, “Privacy Be Damned,” I warned about the operational problems and privacy issues raised by the “health exchanges” that HHS will force tens of millions of Americans to use as of October 1 of this year. In that essay, I noted that “the HHS inspector general and the…
WH: Economic Data Revised to Include 'Methodological Changes Designed to Better Reflect the Evolving Nature of the U.S. Economy'
Daniel Halper · July 31, 2013 In a blog post published this morning, the White House explains why historic economic data has been updated. "The comprehensive revision to the national accounts, which is the first since July 2009, includes additional source data received by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, as well as…
WH: Economic Data Revised to Include 'Methodological Changes Designed to Better Reflect the Evolving Nature of the U.S. Economy'
Daniel Halper · July 31, 2013 In a blog post published this morning, the White House explains why historic economic data has been updated. "The comprehensive revision to the national accounts, which is the first since July 2009, includes additional source data received by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, as well as…
FDA Seeks 'Data Mining and Targeting Software'
Jeryl Bier · June 20, 2013 The Food and Drug Administration's Office of Criminal Investigations is soliciting bids for "Data Mining and Targeting Software" to help in its efforts to combat illegal trafficking in cigarettes and other tobacco products. The announcement appeared Monday on the federal government's fbo.gov…
66% Believe Obama Administration 'Right' to Analyze and Collect Internet Data
Daniel Halper · June 17, 2013 A new CNN poll finds that 66 percent of American adults believe that it's "right" for the Obama administration to analyze and collect Internet data. Only 33 percent believe the action is "wrong," and 1 percent have "No opinion."
Top Spy: 'Single Analyst' Cannot 'Eavesdrop on Domestic Communications Without Proper Legal Authorization'
Daniel Halper · June 17, 2013 In a Sunday evening statement, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence Public Affairs Office released this statement, meant to clear up information on the National Security Agency’s data program.
HHS Touts a ‘Huge Year in Data Liberation’ With ‘Health Datapalooza IV’
Jeryl Bier · June 10, 2013 As the IRS scandal grows, the Department of Health and Human Services today published a blog post titled "Health Datapalooza IV Tops Off a Huge Year in Data Liberation":
Director of National Intelligence: 'Cannot Be Used to Intentionally Target Any U.S. Citizen'
Daniel Halper · June 7, 2013 Director of National Intelligence James Clapper defends the recently revealed metadata mining government intelligence programs:
White House Stats on Childhood Obesity Decline Pre-Date ‘Let's Move’
Jeryl Bier · February 28, 2013 First Lady Michelle Obama is continuing her road trip celebrating the 3rd anniversary of her “Let's Move” initiative, appearing on Good Morning America with Robin Roberts on Tuesday and at an event with Rachael Ray on Wednesday. The initial press release last week gave “Let's Move” credit for…
Google Celebrates 'Data Privacy Day' By Discussing Its Practice of Turning Over Data to Government
Daniel Halper · January 28, 2013 Google celebrated "Data Privacy Day," which is today, according to Google, by explaining its practice of turning over data to the government. Last week, Google revealed that it complies with government requests for data 88 percent of the time.
Google Complies With Government Requests for User Data 88% of the Time
Daniel Halper · January 23, 2013 Internet company Google complies with requests for user data 88 percent of the time government asks, according to data released today by Google.
What the Retail Sales Data Means
Irwin M. Stelzer · August 18, 2012 “America goes shopping again,” exulted one commentator. “The American consumer is back, big time,” chortled another. “Retail sales increase notably more than expected in July reflecting across-the-board strength in sales,” commented the more sober economists at Goldman Sachs, reporting a 0.8…
Child's Play with Numbers
Jonathan V. Last · August 3, 2011 The New York Post had a long story on fertility rates yesterday, centered on the idea that lots of college educated women—and particularly Manhattan women—no longer want to have kids.