Political Analyst and Elections Expert

Michael Barone

30 articles 1996–2012

Michael Barone is a political analyst, journalist, and author known as one of America's foremost experts on elections and demographics. He is a longtime senior political analyst at the Washington Examiner and co-author of "The Almanac of American Politics." He contributed extensively to The Weekly Standard from 1996 to 2012, writing about voting patterns, immigration, political parties, and American political culture.

Citizen Koch Goes to Tampa

September 3, 2012 · Magazine, Michael Barone

Not even the most experienced reporter is likely to recognize him as he takes his seat in the New York delegation or struggles to make his way through the jostling crowds on the floor of the Republican National Convention this week in Tampa. David Koch (the name is pronounced like the soft drink)…

The Outsider

August 6, 2007 · Michael Barone, Magazine, Books and Arts

The Prince of Darkness

Exceptional American

January 15, 2007 · Magazine, Michael Barone

To understand a nation's character, it seems to help to be a foreigner: Who has understood the American character better than the French aristocrat Alexis de Tocqueville? Seymour Martin Lipset, who died on December 31, was not a foreigner or even, quite, an immigrant: He was born a year after his…

Handing Down Misery

August 8, 2005 · Michael Barone, Magazine, Books and Arts

Black Rednecks and White Liberals

War Is Too Important to Be Left to the Generals

June 10, 2002 · Michael Barone, Magazine, Books and Arts

Supreme Command Soldiers, Statesmen and Leadership in Wartime by Eliot A. Cohen Free Press, 272 pp., $25 EVERY SO OFTEN a book appears just at the moment when it is most needed--even though that moment was entirely unpredicted. Such a book is Eliot Cohen's "Supreme Command," a superb study of…

Understanding Harry and Ike

April 1, 2002 · Michael Barone, Magazine, Books and Arts

Harry & Ike The Partnership that Remade the Postwar World by Steve Neal Scribner, 324 pp., $26 "HARRY & IKE," Steve Neal's book on the relations between Harry Truman and Dwight Eisenhower, might well have had a second subtitle--"Great Presidents Behaving Badly." It tells two stories. The first is…

As the World Votes

July 23, 2001 · Features, Michael Barone, Magazine

HALF A CENTURY AGO it was plain which way democracies were heading: left. In the United States, the Democrats held the White House for the nineteenth straight year. In Britain, the Labour party had just created the National Health Service and nationalized the commanding heights of the economy.…

MEG GREENFIELD'S LEGACY

May 31, 1999 · Magazine, Michael Barone

MEG GREENFIELD, the editorial-page editor of the Washington Post, who died May 13, was one of the great patrons of conservative ideas over the last 25 years. Not that she was a conservative herself: Her views were still recognizably rooted in 1950s liberalism, in the ideas that were in the air…

DEMOCRATIC DIVISIONS

November 23, 1998 · Michael Barone, Magazine

"THE DIFFERENCES ARE MUCH DEEPER in the Republican party than in our party," says House minority leader Richard Gephardt. From the other side of the Democratic party, Al From's Democratic Leadership Council, comes the view that divided Republicans "have moved steadily out of the mainstream on a…

A PARTY OF GOVERNORS

November 16, 1998 · Michael Barone, Blog

It was an election about nothing, an election to determine the outcome of an issue -- impeachment -- about which few candidates had anything to say: That verdict has been voiced repeatedly over the last few weeks. But in fact, like most elections, this one was partly about government. And not so…

POLLS APART

October 12, 1998 · Michael Barone, Magazine

START WITH THIS ANOMALY: Most Americans say they oppose impeaching Bill Clinton, yet almost all signs point to a victory in the November 3 congressional elections for the Republicans, who are more likely to vote for impeachment. The explanation lies in turnout: All the evidence we have from recent…

GRANT AND THE HISTORIANS

August 3, 1998 · Michael Barone, Magazine, Books and Arts

Ulysses S. Grant is universally ranked among the greatest American generals, and his Memoirs are widely considered to belong with the best military autobiographies ever written. But he is inevitably named, by conservatives as well as liberals, as one of the worst presidents in American history.

BACK INTO THE MELTING POT

July 6, 1998 · Magazine, Michael Barone, Books and Arts

While the more euphonious "Latinos" is heard often in California and sometimes in Texas, the Census Bureau prefers the clumsy word "Hispanics" to describe them -- the people descended from the European colonists, American Indians, and African slaves in Spain's former possessions in the New World.

CALIFORNIA VOTING

June 15, 1998 · Magazine, Michael Barone

ONE THING LAST WEEK'S California primary for governor did not prove is that voters reject candidates who spend heaps of their own money on their campaigns. Political reporters, few of whom could self-finance a campaign, and other politicians naturally resent such candidates, but voters don't much…

THE LAST LAUGH

June 15, 1998 · Michael Barone, Magazine

Barry Goldwater was the sort of citizen-politician the Founders originally hoped would lead the republic. No one foresaw how far he would go, when in 1952, the proprietor of his family's department store and a second-term member of the city council of Phoenix, Ariz. (1950 population: 106,818), he…

THE BIG ENCHILADA

May 18, 1998 · Magazine, Michael Barone

The California governor's race -- with two millionaires, Democrats Al Checchi and Jane Harman, and two statewide officials, Democrat Gray Davis and Republican Dan Lungren, contending -- is easily the most important election this year. For one thing, it is the Democrats' best chance of picking up a…

WILL THE FEMINISTS JUMP SHIP?

February 9, 1998 · Michael Barone, Magazine

AT STAKE IN THE MONICA LEWINSKY affair is no less than the balance of forces in American politics. If the alleged events are conclusively proven -- even if the scandal results merely in the airing of more and more unpalatable facts about Bill Clinton -- there is a strong possibility that the whole…

THE VIEW FROM ARGENTINA

January 5, 1998 · Michael Barone, Magazine

"IT HAPPENED AROUND 1991: Everything changed." The speaker is a young Argentinian investment banker, talking over coffee at La Biela, a restaurant across the park from the Recoleta Cemetery where Eva Peron is buried, incongruously, amid the leading families of Buenos Aires. The words are almost…

OUR COUNTRY, RIGHT OR CENTRIST The Lessons of Election '97

November 17, 1997 · Magazine, Michael Barone

For conservatives, the 1997 elections could hardly have turned out better. Conservative Republicans won a sweeping victory in Virginia, hardline mayor Rudolph Giuliani was handsomely reelected in Democratic New York City, and Republican right-to-lifer Vito Fossella carried the New York 13th…

THE GOOD NEWS IS THE GOOD NEWS IS RIGHT

September 8, 1997 · Magazine, Michael Barone

America is changing more rapidly and more for the better than almost anyone in Washington yet realizes. The evidence is there, in plain sight, in publicly reported statistics whose import almost no one seems to realize. What the numbers tell us is this: The crime rate and the welfare rolls are…

ENUMERATE-GATE

August 11, 1997 · Magazine, Michael Barone

THE FIGHT OVER THE 2000 CENSUS is a fight between the Republicans and the Democrats over statistics. It reached the high level of national politics when the Republicans added a provision to the disaster-relief bill in June barring the use of "sampling" -- estimating the total population from an…

THE GOP

March 10, 1997 · Magazine, Michael Barone

Which party prevailed in the 1996 congressional elections? It's not as silly a question as it sounds. The facts tell us one thing; the actions of people in and around politics tell us another. The numbers make it plain that the Republicans won. In the House of Representatives, Republicans took 227…

THE BAD NEWS ABOUT 1998

January 13, 1997 · Michael Barone, Blog

Many Republicans are taking it for granted that they will make big gains in the congressional election in 1998. The president's party, they like to say, usually loses big in elections in his sixth year. Speaker Newt Gingrich likes to quantify it: The party out of power, he says, has gained an…

IT'S 1973 ALL OVER AGAIN

October 28, 1996 · Michael Barone, Blog

ELECTION YEAR 1996 IS LOOKING very much like election year 1972, when most voters decided to return an incumbent president to office despite doubts about his honesty and trustworthiness. Will a Nixon-like victory for Bill Clinton be followed by the aftermath of the November 1972 landslide -- the…

CLINTON'S GOOD PRESS AND THE MONO-PARTISAN MEDIA

October 7, 1996 · Michael Barone, Blog

The heart seems to have gone out of the defenders of the mainline media against charges of leftward bias. Where it was formerly asserted with vigor that the great organs of print and broadcast press were pictures of objectivity, now it is conceded that journalism just seems to attract people who…

SWING, VOTERS, SWING

July 29, 1996 · Michael Barone, Blog

POLL RESULTS ARE THE SHEET MUSIC of politics; to hear the melody you have to listen to voters talking. The poll numbers have shown Bill Clinton far ahead of Bob Dole, with Ross Perot picking up some votes from both when he's included. The polls tend to suggest the election is over.

ULIVO AND KICKING

May 20, 1996 · Michael Barone, Blog

I WENT TO ITALY A WEEK BEFORE the April 21 election hoping to observe a politics different from ours. Instead, I was struck again and again by the similarities. Begin with campaign tactics. The leaders of the winning center4eft Ulivo coalition rolled into their final rally April 18 in il pullman --…