The latest from Public Policy Polling shows Rick Perry leading Mitt Romney 36 percent to 16 percent in South Carolina Republican primary. As for the rest of the field: "13% for Michele Bachmann, 9% for Herman Cain, 8% for Newt Gingrich, 5% for Ron Paul, 4% for Rick Santorum, and 2% for Jon Huntsman."

In the modern era, the Republican nominee wins two of the first three major contests (Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina). Right now, Romney's up by double digits in New Hampshire, while Perry, Bachmann, and Romney are in a dead heat in Iowa.