A look at the entrance poll crosstabs should be worrisome for the Obama camp. Compare it also to the results in New Hampshire: Clinton won NV women 51 percent to 38 percent. Clinton won voters over 45 in NV by a slim margin. But she won voters over 60 by a 2-to-1 margin. Think about how that projects to Florida. Clinton won almost every income level in NV, but again had a big margin (+12) with voters making under $50,000 a year. Obama won the African-American vote by a giant margin (83 percent to 14 percent). No big surprise there. But Clinton walloped him among Hispanics, (64 percent to 26 percent). Clinton bested Obama by a wide margin among Catholics again, too (58 percent to 31 percent). As Jay Cost noted recently, this looks like a traditional Democratic coalition again (minus African-Americans).
Jonathan V. Last
Last: Playing the Numbers, Cont.
A look at the entrance poll crosstabs should be worrisome for the Obama camp. Compare it also to the results in New Hampshire: Clinton won NV women 51 percent to 38 percent. Clinton won voters over 45 in NV by a slim margin. But she won voters over 60 by a 2-to-1 margin. Think about how that…
Jonathan V. Last · January 19, 2008
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