Chuck Todd has an interesting rundown on the state of the Florida primary. Here he is on McCain's strengths:
On one hand, Florida should be a great state for McCain. It's not as much Southern as it is Sunbelt, like a really big Arizona. In addition, the state boasts lots of veterans - mostly transplants - and Florida Republicans understand the idea of electability. Add to that the information gathered from the South Carolina exit poll Saturday. Notice how well McCain did with his peer age group (65+)? He won the group by nearly 20 points. Last time I checked, Florida had its share of those over 65. So a patch to 35 percent (the number any winner of this primary is going to need) seems pretty easy.
And here he is on McCain's vulnerabilities:
On the other hand, the Florida primary also could be the one that plays host to a very conservative electorate. The primary is only open to registered Republicans and so far, John McCain has not fared well, according to the exits, among registered Republicans. He actually lost Republicans by a point in South Carolina (his margin among independents put him over the top). And while he won Republicans narrowly in New Hampshire, again, it was independents that gave McCain his margin over Romney.
Read the whole thing, as they say.