A D.C. area friend--tired of shoveling snow--called today to chat, and to say he agreed with the notion that 2010 looked to be shaping up as a populist, anti-establishment, and anti-incumbent year. And he called my attention to last week's polls on the Florida Senate race. Everyone noticed the Rasmussen survey early last week that found Marco Rubio now tied with Governor Charlie Crist at 43% in their contest for the Florida GOP Senate nomination. But perhaps as interesting, my friend reminded me, were Rasmussen's numbers in the match-ups with the likely Democratic nominee, Kendrick Meek: Rubio clobbers Meek 49% to 35%, while Crist's lead is a more modest 42% to 36%. So much, it would seem, for the conventional wisdom among establishment types that the moderate, experienced, establishment-friendly Crist would be more electable than Rubio.